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NVIDIA Stock FY2025 Q2 Third-party Analysts' Forecast & Preview

 

Table of Content

Part 1: NVIDIA Stock Latest News

1. Latest NVDA NVIDIA Stock Price, August 26th, 2024

2. NVIDIA Stock Price Performance, August 26th, 2024

  • - Last 7 Days: -0.48%
  • - Last 1 Month: +14.43%
  • - Last 6 Months: +63.60%
  • - Last 1 Year: +176.34%
  • - YTD: +344.02%

Nvidia's stock performance in 2024 has been impressive, continuing its strong run from 2023. The stock is up just over 150% so far this year, building on its massive 239% gain in 2023.

 

Nvidia shares are currently trading around $123.80, up 3.66% in the most recent session. The stock is in a cup base formation, with its split-adjusted all-time high of 140.76 serving as the next potential buy point. Analysts at Citi have given Nvidia a price target of 150 while maintaining a buy rating, expecting the stock to reach a new high after the company announces its earnings next Wednesday and provides an outlook for its new AI chip, Blackwell.

 

The stock's performance has been driven largely by Nvidia's dominance in AI chips and the growing demand for artificial intelligence technologies. Earnings reports have been a significant catalyst for the stock's movements in both 2023 and 2024. For the upcoming second-quarter results due on August 28, analysts are projecting sales of $28.7 billion, representing a 112% year-over-year growth, with earnings expected to rise 138% to 64 cents per share.

 

Despite some volatility and concerns about potential delays in new chip releases and regulatory scrutiny, Nvidia's stock has shown resilience. It recently retook its 50-day moving average and is currently trading about 6% above that level. The relative strength line is recovering, and the stock maintains strong ratings, including a 98 Relative Strength Rating and a 99 Composite Rating.

 

However, Investor's Business Daily also notes that Nvidia stock currently holds an Accumulation/Distribution Rating of E, reflecting heavy institutional selling in recent weeks. This suggests that while the stock's performance has been strong overall, it has faced some selling pressure.

 

Part 2:NVIDIA FY2025 Q1 Earnings Report Recap

 

1. NVIDIA Key Indicators and Historical Earnings Report

  NVIDIA FY2025 Q1 Key Indicators   Value   YOY
  EPS   $0.60   +629.27%
  PE Ratio   108.44   /
  FCF   $15B   +462.37%
  Current Ratio   3.53   +2.98%
  ROA   20.84%   +336.84%
  ROE   32.31%   +268.63%
  Gross Margin   78.35%   +21.24%
  Net Margin   57.14%   +101.14%

 

For more information, such as definitions and explanations of the above technical terms, please view:

Interpretation of Key Indicators >>

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explore nvidia's potential earnings oppotunity

NVIDIA's financial statement for Q1 fiscal year 2025:


Revenue:

● Record quarterly revenue of $26.0 billion, up 18% from the previous quarter and up 262% from a year ago.
● Data Center revenue was the primary driver, reaching $22.6 billion, up 23% from Q4 and up 427% year-over-year.
● Gaming revenue was $2.6 billion, down 8% from the previous quarter but up 18% from a year ago.
● Professional Visualization revenue was $427 million, down 8% quarter-over-quarter but up 45% year-over-year.
● Automotive revenue was $329 million, up 17% from the previous quarter and up 11% from a year ago.

 

Profitability:
● GAAP gross margin improved to 78.4%, up 2.4 percentage points from Q4 and up 13.8 percentage points year-over-year.
● Non-GAAP gross margin was 78.9%, up 2.2 percentage points from Q4 and up 12.1 percentage points year-over-year.
● GAAP operating income was $16.9 billion, up 24% from Q4 and up 690% from a year ago.
● Non-GAAP operating income was $18.1 billion, up 22% from Q4 and up 492% year-over-year.

 

Earnings:
● GAAP earnings per diluted share was $5.98, up 21% from Q4 and up 629% from a year ago.
● Non-GAAP earnings per diluted share was $6.12, up 19% from Q4 and up 461% year-over-year.

Cash Flow and Balance Sheet:
● Net cash provided by operating activities was $15.3 billion.
● Free cash flow was $14.9 billion.
● Cash, cash equivalents, and marketable securities totaled $31.4 billion at the end of Q1.

 

Outlook:
For Q2 fiscal 2025, NVIDIA expects:
● Revenue of approximately $28.0 billion (±2%).
● GAAP and non-GAAP gross margins of 74.8% and 75.5% respectively (±50 basis points).
● GAAP and non-GAAP operating expenses of approximately $4.0 billion and $2.8 billion, respectively.

 

Other Notable Points:
● NVIDIA announced a ten-for-one forward stock split, effective June 7, 2024.
● The company increased its quarterly cash dividend by 150% to $0.01 per share on a post-split basis.

 

Overall, NVIDIA's financial results show significant growth, particularly in its Data Center segment, driven by strong demand for AI and accelerated computing solutions. The company's profitability metrics have also improved substantially year-over-year, reflecting increased operational efficiency and market demand for its products.

Here are the key business highlights from NVIDIA's FY2025 Q1 financial results:

 

Data Center:

Revenue: $22.6 billion

Quarter-over-quarter growth: 23%

Year-over-year growth: 427%

This segment showed the strongest performance, driven by increasing demand for generative AI training and inference on the Hopper platform.

Growth extended beyond cloud service providers to consumer internet companies, enterprise, sovereign AI, automotive, and healthcare customers.

 

Gaming and AI PC:

Revenue: $2.6 billion

Quarter-over-quarter change: -8%

Year-over-year growth: 18%

Despite a slight decline from the previous quarter, gaming revenue showed solid year-over-year growth.

New AI gaming technologies were introduced, including advancements for NVIDIA ACE and Neural Graphics.

 

Professional Visualization:

Revenue: $427 million

Quarter-over-quarter change: -8%

Year-over-year growth: 45%

While experiencing a quarterly decline, this segment showed strong year-over-year growth.

New products were introduced, including NVIDIA RTX 500 and 1000 professional Ada generation laptop GPUs and NVIDIA RTX A400 and A1000 GPUs for desktop workstations.

 

Automotive and Robotics:

Revenue: $329 million

Quarter-over-quarter growth: 17%

Year-over-year growth: 11%

This segment showed growth both sequentially and year-over-year.

Several partnerships were announced, including BYD, XPENG, and GAC's AION Hyper choosing the NVIDIA DRIVE Thor platform for their next-generation electric vehicles.

 

Overall, the Data Center segment was the primary driver of NVIDIA's growth, reflecting the increasing demand for AI and accelerated computing solutions. While other segments showed mixed results quarter-over-quarter, all segments demonstrated year-over-year growth, indicating broad-based expansion across NVIDIA's product lines.

 

 

Part 3:NVIDIA FY2025 Q2 Earnings Report Forecast & Preview

1. NVIDIA FY2025 Q2 Forecast By Third Party Analyst Rating, August 26th

NVIDIA earnings date is coming soon! Following an extensive evaluation of NVIDIA's financial data, revenue, and stock trends over the last few quarters by more than 33 third-party financial analysts, NVDA Stock has been given a "Strong Buy" rating. Analysts forecast an average stock price of $153.330 (Average) for the next 12 months.

 

 

- Third Party Analyst rating: Strong Buy

- NVIDIA Price Target: $153.330

FY2025 Q2 EPS Forecast: $0.603

FY2025 Q2 Revenue Forecast: $28.7B

FY2025 Q2 EBIT Forecast: $18.9B

 

For more information on what the analyst ratings may mean, visit https://pro.benzinga.com/blog/what-do-stock-analyst-ratings-mean/ (Benzinga is not affiliated with Moomoo Technologies Inc., Moomoo Financial Inc., or its affiliates.)

 

 

2. NVIDIA Forecast By Technical Analysis, August 26th, 2024

  Technical Indicators   Value   Signal
  KDJ   k:87.910 D:86.599 J:90.534   bearish
  OSC   OSC:1478.550   bearish
  BIAS   BIAS1:1.674 BIAS2:7.864 BIAS3:12.746   bearish
  RSI(12)   RSI12:61.266   bearish
  RSI(24)   RSI24:56.931   neutral
  MACD   DIF:3.041 DEA:0.712 MACD:4.658   neutral
  MA   MA5:127.772 MA10:122.954 MA20:114.585 MA30:116.307 MA60:120.478   neutral
  BOLL   MID:114.585 UPPER:134.905 LOWER:94.264   neutral

 

For more information, such as definitions and explanations of the above technical terms, please view: 

Interpretation of technical indicators >>

 

 

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