Sep 27, 2023 19:24
There's no chance the Fed will cut interest rates this year. The recently announced oil production cuts have sent crude back to $90s and it could go even higher. The stubborn inflation coupled with a tight labour market means that the Fed will take a neutral or even hawkish stance for the remainder of this year.

In view of this, I will be adjusting my asset allocation as I shift towards lower-risk asset classes. I will continuously add to money market funds as I await the end of the Fed's rate hiking cycle.

Once the interest rates peak, I will seek to gain exposure to US treasury bonds through ETFs such as $iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT.US)$ or funds like $PIMCO GIS Low Duration Income Fund (IE00BDT57T44.MF)$ which boast a comparatively better credit quality with 70%+ of its holdings rated AAA. These should perform well when the Fed begins its rate cutting cycle.
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