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$Invesco QQQ Trust (QQQ.US)$ $S&P 500 Index (.SPX.US)$ Thoughts?
“Reported inflation is understated. Owners’ Equivalent Rent (OER) relies on owner surveys to estimate inflation in housing costs. This is an extremely imprecise metric. The single family rental market provides more accurate data. OER in today’s reported core CPI was 3.5% YoY.
The largest owners of nationwide single family rentals are reporting 17% YoY rent increases. OER is 30% of the Core CPI calculation and 24% of reported CPI. Using the more empirical measure in the calculation increases today’s Core CPI from 4.9% to 9.0% and CPI from 6.8% to 10.1%
Housing inflation is unlikely to abate based on supply and demand trends. The inflation that households are actually experiencing is raging and well in excess of reported gov’t statistics.”
“Reported inflation is understated. Owners’ Equivalent Rent (OER) relies on owner surveys to estimate inflation in housing costs. This is an extremely imprecise metric. The single family rental market provides more accurate data. OER in today’s reported core CPI was 3.5% YoY.
The largest owners of nationwide single family rentals are reporting 17% YoY rent increases. OER is 30% of the Core CPI calculation and 24% of reported CPI. Using the more empirical measure in the calculation increases today’s Core CPI from 4.9% to 9.0% and CPI from 6.8% to 10.1%
Housing inflation is unlikely to abate based on supply and demand trends. The inflation that households are actually experiencing is raging and well in excess of reported gov’t statistics.”
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$Apple (AAPL.US)$
Recent run-up is likely more from money moving from riskier tech/growth into something safer.
Shorter term I expect that money to move again likely more into other re-opening trades, and so I wouldn't be surprised if AAPL comes back down about 10%. It will likely stay around there a bit before the next upward surge to the 180s.
Recent run-up is likely more from money moving from riskier tech/growth into something safer.
Shorter term I expect that money to move again likely more into other re-opening trades, and so I wouldn't be surprised if AAPL comes back down about 10%. It will likely stay around there a bit before the next upward surge to the 180s.
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I agree that the stock market will crash again at some point. But as long as stocks offer better potential returns than bonds or other liquid assets, a market meltdown isn't all that likely barring a major unforeseen crisis.
Like even after taking into account the "EV bubble", "Covid-19" and the "Evergrande" shenanigans. I see it as impossible for the market to crash anytime soon.
EV bubble: Will probably won't even affect the whole market. It's not even a big deal and some are comparing it to the housing market bubble (which is much bigger and a whole different story).
C19: We will be living with C19 for the rest of humanity. It has become the norm. Yes, the cases are going up but the vaccines are keeping the deaths low. It will become common like the flu in the future.
Evergrande: The government will take care of it. Like they do with all their businesses and billionaires.
Will the market stay bullish for another 3 years?
$Tesla (TSLA.US)$ $S&P 500 Index (.SPX.US)$ $Invesco QQQ Trust (QQQ.US)$ $Apple (AAPL.US)$
Like even after taking into account the "EV bubble", "Covid-19" and the "Evergrande" shenanigans. I see it as impossible for the market to crash anytime soon.
EV bubble: Will probably won't even affect the whole market. It's not even a big deal and some are comparing it to the housing market bubble (which is much bigger and a whole different story).
C19: We will be living with C19 for the rest of humanity. It has become the norm. Yes, the cases are going up but the vaccines are keeping the deaths low. It will become common like the flu in the future.
Evergrande: The government will take care of it. Like they do with all their businesses and billionaires.
Will the market stay bullish for another 3 years?
$Tesla (TSLA.US)$ $S&P 500 Index (.SPX.US)$ $Invesco QQQ Trust (QQQ.US)$ $Apple (AAPL.US)$
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I guess I'm still confused about how the market fluctuations are economic indicators. It seems they're simple market fluctuations of stocks owned by companies and *some* individuals.
It isn't a true reflection of the financial or economic status of the Average Joe thats for sure.
Am I happy with my retirement investments and my "just for fun" stock accounts? Yes!
That being said, I know how hard I worked, how lucky and privileged I am.
I also know not everyone owns stock. Either as an individual or as a 401k investor with a sweet company match.
While I am thrilled that my accounts are growing I must also take a moment to realize I am a lucky and privileged person to be thrilled about market performance when there are starving homeless children in this world.
This is not intended as a "downer", merely as a reality check that market fluctuations have little to no influence on the daily lives of *most* people. Obviously they have enormous impact on THIS app!!
Love and luck to you all - please be generous this Christmas and Holiday Season with charity if you have been blessed this year by the market
It isn't a true reflection of the financial or economic status of the Average Joe thats for sure.
Am I happy with my retirement investments and my "just for fun" stock accounts? Yes!
That being said, I know how hard I worked, how lucky and privileged I am.
I also know not everyone owns stock. Either as an individual or as a 401k investor with a sweet company match.
While I am thrilled that my accounts are growing I must also take a moment to realize I am a lucky and privileged person to be thrilled about market performance when there are starving homeless children in this world.
This is not intended as a "downer", merely as a reality check that market fluctuations have little to no influence on the daily lives of *most* people. Obviously they have enormous impact on THIS app!!
Love and luck to you all - please be generous this Christmas and Holiday Season with charity if you have been blessed this year by the market
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If the news is warning people of a crash, then it’s not happening any time soon. When it’s going to happen, the insiders will sell first and let us poor fucks take the losses. $Tesla (TSLA.US)$ $AMC Entertainment (AMC.US)$ $S&P 500 Index (.SPX.US)$
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I think barring any unforeseen circumstances, there is a good chance S&P will hit 5000 by end of 2021. December is traditionally a good month for stocks. A dampening factor would be the tax rate increases that Biden administration are wanting to implement.
$SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY.US)$ $Vanguard S&P 500 ETF (VOO.US)$ $S&P 500 Index (.SPX.US)$
Disclaimer: The above is my personal opinion. It is not financial advice or a recommendation to invest. Please consult a financial advisor before making any investment decision.
$SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY.US)$ $Vanguard S&P 500 ETF (VOO.US)$ $S&P 500 Index (.SPX.US)$
Disclaimer: The above is my personal opinion. It is not financial advice or a recommendation to invest. Please consult a financial advisor before making any investment decision.
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the future are not ours to see but we can learn from history and from the historical chart, $SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY.US)$ only goes up. it may drop sometimes drop but then it will continue rises to the moon. Chances of losing is low if can hold. Hold how long is another story. To improve the odd, i would suggest to go to Loyang Tua Pek Gong to pray and give offering. Good luck to all.
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The price-earnings ratio premium of the technology sector continues to expand. Even excluding $Apple (AAPL.US)$ and $Microsoft (MSFT.US)$ , the valuation of the technology sector is still much higher than the other sectors of the S&P 500.
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Judging from historical experience, the bull market in US stocks is expected to continue. From the 1930s to the present, in this nearly 100 years, the bull market in US stocks will rise for an average of 5 years, with an average increase of 250%. Even the shortest bull market, such as in the mid-1960s, probably rose for 26 months. From the end of March last year to the present, this wave of bull market has actually been less than two years old. From experience, it has not yet reached the end of this wave of bull market.
$SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY.US)$ $Apple (AAPL.US)$ $Amazon (AMZN.US)$ $Alibaba (BABA.US)$ $Tesla (TSLA.US)$ $NVIDIA (NVDA.US)$
$SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY.US)$ $Apple (AAPL.US)$ $Amazon (AMZN.US)$ $Alibaba (BABA.US)$ $Tesla (TSLA.US)$ $NVIDIA (NVDA.US)$
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Bailee : Nominal inflation right now is around 9.5%. Yes, that is right--- we're in uncharted territory.
Chiapopo : ok
ktts : Good
102249055grace Bailee : Good
Jensen Philanthropy : Market gonna crash this week, can always buy lower when it crash
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