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Columns 2025 First Triple Witching Day Coming Soon: Major Indices Show a 60%+ Likelihood of Positive Return
Jinta Hong, CFA
Global stock markets continued to hit recent lows last week, but the downward trend eased following better-than-expected U.S. inflation data (both CPI and core CPI). The $S&P 500 Index (.SPX.US)$ fell 2.27%, $Nasdaq Composite Index (.IXIC.US)$ dropped 2.43%, and the $Dow Jones Industrial Average (.DJI.US)$ declined 3.07% last week, with consumer and communication sectors leading the lo...
Global stock markets continued to hit recent lows last week, but the downward trend eased following better-than-expected U.S. inflation data (both CPI and core CPI). The $S&P 500 Index (.SPX.US)$ fell 2.27%, $Nasdaq Composite Index (.IXIC.US)$ dropped 2.43%, and the $Dow Jones Industrial Average (.DJI.US)$ declined 3.07% last week, with consumer and communication sectors leading the lo...
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As 2025 first Triple Witching Day is coming soon, we're excited to introduce an insightful tool that can complement how you research and trade options -- Top 0DTE Options by Volume feature. Designed specifically for traders who seek to capture market movements as they unfold, this feature provides access to real-time updates on soon-to-expire options, so you can quickly make informed decisions.
Why We Think You'll L...
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Heading into Triple Witching event tomorrow...
$SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY.US)$ -- Potential rising wedge/bear flag (in purple) with a breakdown target of ~18 points. IF it breaks down tomorrow, Friday 03-21, SPY could break the recent low of 549.68. Otherwise, it may head back up to the upper resistance around ~573.
$Invesco QQQ Trust (QQQ.US)$ -- Potential rising wedge/bear flag (in purple) with a breakdown target of ~17 points. IF it breaks down before Tuesday, 03-25, QQQ could break the recent lo...
$SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY.US)$ -- Potential rising wedge/bear flag (in purple) with a breakdown target of ~18 points. IF it breaks down tomorrow, Friday 03-21, SPY could break the recent low of 549.68. Otherwise, it may head back up to the upper resistance around ~573.
$Invesco QQQ Trust (QQQ.US)$ -- Potential rising wedge/bear flag (in purple) with a breakdown target of ~17 points. IF it breaks down before Tuesday, 03-25, QQQ could break the recent lo...
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to avoid assignment use index funds.
.rut .ndx .spx
for vertical spreads to find a profitable expected value. use , max loss < pop*width
ex. $5 wide, 80% pop should have max loss no more than 400.
.rut .ndx .spx
for vertical spreads to find a profitable expected value. use , max loss < pop*width
ex. $5 wide, 80% pop should have max loss no more than 400.
$Amprius Technologies (AMPX.US)$ two quarters ago they had a monster earnings the stock was up about 110% in 2 days
I'll throw this out there I think it's a real long shot
tomorrow's option expiration. the $3 strike are zero bid put a bid in for a penny (.01) you've got 21 minutes
put a bid in for like a hundred contracts it's not a lot of money and if by chance they can pull a quarter like they did two quarters ago the stock would be $4 all things equal
you have a grand slam home run you ha...
I'll throw this out there I think it's a real long shot
tomorrow's option expiration. the $3 strike are zero bid put a bid in for a penny (.01) you've got 21 minutes
put a bid in for like a hundred contracts it's not a lot of money and if by chance they can pull a quarter like they did two quarters ago the stock would be $4 all things equal
you have a grand slam home run you ha...
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Market Overview
Starting from February 19, U.S. stocks experienced a significant pullback, with the $S&P 500 Index (.SPX.US)$ dropping from its high of 6,147.43 points to 5,521.52 points by March 13, before stabilizing and starting to recover. This correction can be attributed to several factors:
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Changes in Global Tariff Policies
According to insights from Goldman Sachs' Macro Weekend Call, the recent market correction is partly due to uncertaint...
Starting from February 19, U.S. stocks experienced a significant pullback, with the $S&P 500 Index (.SPX.US)$ dropping from its high of 6,147.43 points to 5,521.52 points by March 13, before stabilizing and starting to recover. This correction can be attributed to several factors:
According to insights from Goldman Sachs' Macro Weekend Call, the recent market correction is partly due to uncertaint...
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1 day after the Fed-driven rally, the market seems to be struggling a little bit. At this point, major indexes are green, but lack strength.
If we can hold out the day and maintain that small green, then it’s not too bad. The bounce could continue for a while longer before the next retracement.
Side note - tomorrow is Triple Witching Day. Lots of options expiring. So do expect high volatility.
$SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY.US)$ $S&P 500 Index (.SPX.US)$ $Invesco QQQ Trust (QQQ.US)$ $Tesla (TSLA.US)$ $Apple (AAPL.US)$ $Advanced Micro Devices (AMD.US)$ $NVIDIA (NVDA.US)$ $Meta Platforms (META.US)$ $Microsoft (MSFT.US)$ $Alphabet-A (GOOGL.US)$ $Amazon (AMZN.US)$
...
If we can hold out the day and maintain that small green, then it’s not too bad. The bounce could continue for a while longer before the next retracement.
Side note - tomorrow is Triple Witching Day. Lots of options expiring. So do expect high volatility.
$SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY.US)$ $S&P 500 Index (.SPX.US)$ $Invesco QQQ Trust (QQQ.US)$ $Tesla (TSLA.US)$ $Apple (AAPL.US)$ $Advanced Micro Devices (AMD.US)$ $NVIDIA (NVDA.US)$ $Meta Platforms (META.US)$ $Microsoft (MSFT.US)$ $Alphabet-A (GOOGL.US)$ $Amazon (AMZN.US)$
...
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