The probability of a significant adjustment in the US stock market this year is not high.
If the inflation rises and the Federal Reserve tightens its monetary policy, will the US stock market experience a significant decline? We believe that the probability of this happening is relatively low. Historical data shows that the US stock market is mainly determined by a single factor, which is the growth of company performance. During the period of economic and performance recovery, even if the Federal Reserve appropriately tightens its monetary policy, the probability of a large stock market decline is not high.
However, it is worth mentioning that if the Federal Reserve tightens its monetary policy, it will have a significant impact on the stock markets of emerging market countries.
However, it is worth mentioning that if the Federal Reserve tightens its monetary policy, it will have a significant impact on the stock markets of emerging market countries.
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