Account Info
Log Out
English
Back
Log in to access Online Inquiry
Back to the Top
Jan CPI rose 6.4% vs. 6.2% estimates
Views 2.9M Contents 369

$SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY.US)$ Has anyone noticed the U.S. stoc...

$SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY.US)$ Has anyone noticed the U.S. stock market is trading at 209% of GDP versus an average (across cycles) of 85%?
When the housing bubble burst, this ratio fell all the way down to 50%.
Inflation is rising.
Rates are rising.
Markets will...de-risk.
There's a yawning gap between 209% and 85%...or 50%.
The window is closing.
Time to sell.
Disclaimer: Community is offered by Moomoo Technologies Inc. and is for educational purposes only. Read more
1
16
6
+0
5
Translate
Report
50K Views
Comment
Sign in to post a comment
  • Dot Len : You may very well be right. I'm going to hoard cash now and scale into div payers on the way down. All in all - the same thing, guess. I don't own any of the real high flyers right now anyway - so not much to sell.

  • Tomcattie : You're looking at this the wrong way. Apple/Tesla make a lot of their profits internationally, mainly from China. If you're going to use the SPY-to-GPD ratio, then use the GLOBAL GDP, not the U.S. only.

  • Mars shu : The world economy globalized decades ago!
    This is - BY FAR - the highest level we've seen in 30 years.

  • muchtime : This market is more expensive than 1999. From 2000-2003, the Nasdaq fell 87%...and took 14 years to claw back to breakeven. There's a bad moon on the rise.

  • Mikalov1 muchtime : You're absolutely right, but good luck convincing most of the people on these boards - many are absolutely hypnotized by the dizzying gains lately and have found a way to convince themselves it will continue forever. It is truly the "euphoria" phase before the storm. All we can do is batten down the hatches and be ready.