[CHIVEST takes you to play with US stocks: the US interest rate hike begins, and the market does not fall but rises! So can I enter?]

Stock code: $S&P 500 Index(.SPX.US)$ $E-mini NASDAQ 100 Futures(SEP4)(NQmain.US)$ $Dow Jones Industrial Average(.DJI.US)$

Many people are probably looking forward to 16/3/2022, hoping they can have fun with #暴富（小编也有小买了 #彩票 like #印度神童 said 😉), but at the end of the day, we didn't wait to get rich, but we waited for #美国 #加息 😭.
On yesterday 16/3/2022 #美联储会议纪要（ #FOMC）后，美国终于宣布了6年以来第一次的加息，同时也宣布了多项重要的 #经济数据。 Let me sort out a few highlights for you to see.
On the #利率水平 side: ✅
The Federal Reserve raised the benchmark interest rate by 25 basis points to 0.25% to 0.50% (#符合市场预期） 🤗
On the #点阵图预期 side: ✅
The Federal Reserve expects interest rates to be 1.9% by the end of 2022, so 2022 will likely #加息7次 😮
On the #经济预期 side: ✅
The Federal Reserve's #大幅下调 GDP forecast for this year is 2.7%, and last year it predicted 4.1% for 2022. (Shows that the Federal Reserve has lowered its #经济增长 expectations a lot this year)
On the #通胀预期 side: ✅
Since the FOMC announced the interest rate of 0.25% last night was #符合预期, and the #美联储主席 #鲍威尔 speech after the meeting was quite optimistic about America's subsequent economic trends, the US stock market is #标普500（ #SPX）便在盘中由跌转涨，涨幅达到了2 .24%, which was a strong upward rebound.

However, from the perspective of #宏观经济 as a whole 🤔, the FOMC data all shows that the US economic forecast for 2022 will slow down (GDP from 4% to 2%), and the inflation problem has not been completely solved. It also indicates that interest rates will increase around 6-7 times this year. Therefore, subsequent US stocks are more likely to continue #盘整回调 in 2022. After all, SPX from the bottom to high in 2020-2021 also reached an astonishing increase of about 120%. It is reasonable for the #高估值 stock to return to fundamentals and normal prices. It won't produce #泡沫危机。 in the future
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Looking at #图形走势 📈, SPX is currently still in #下降通道 since its peak (see screenshot below), and the current price is also nearing the top of the channel, so it can be said that the trend over the past few days will be critical. We need to see whether it will break through this channel or continue to fall along the channel. You can refer back to the bottom support of 4150 at the bottom of #关键支撑 below. Looking at the trend, SPX has not begun to turn bullish, and at the same time, we should not operate against the trend (one of the CHIVEST leek principles), so we at CHIVEST will not randomly #抄底 until the US stocks show a bullish signal. 😎
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Keep in mind the three principles of CHIVEST chives: 😍
✅ Operate without reversing the trend
✅ Don't follow the trend and buy stocks
✅ Don't buy stocks you don't understand
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Disclaimers
This analysis is provided by the CHIVEST team. It only represents the team's analytical suggestions and does not serve as a basis for trading. Entering the market is risky. You need to be careful when investing; please bear the risk yourself. All rights reserved, and any copying or unauthorized misuse must be investigated.

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