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$Tesla (TSLA.US)$ TWO possible scenarios: - keep climbing an...

$Tesla (TSLA.US)$
TWO possible scenarios:
- keep climbing and finally RE-enter the positive channel (925/930)
- bounce back on Monday or Tuesday for a limited consolidation, then spike up again
There’s A LOT of good and substantial events and news coming in March-April and the fundamentals keep improving impressively.
The run could be ruined by a war case scenario or a severe Covid explosion in China while inflation (if not uncontrolled) wouldn’t affect Tesla so much for several months.
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  • Milk The Cow : Elon mentioned something master plan, is it 3?
    If he review a "plan" that can brings high probability profit, the stock may climb[undefined].

    I guess the plan maybe related to network something, not sure[undefined].

  • TeslaSmurf OP : In fact is a whole new plan, as the main sources of income for the company may turn to be not directly cars, but all the new stuff that will come from it: insurance, Ai and robotics, software etc. Mostly probable that in the second part of the decade car production will be just the entrance door to the Tesla universe. Anyway, that’s the future, the reason why I keep buying as much shares as I can. For the present and for the actual stock value, which matters a lot too, much more significant are the archievements in fundamentals and the capability to increase the production as much as possible, given the fact that (for now) Tesla has no problem in selling every car that builds, whatever the price. Do note the several price increases in the last year in the attempt to reduce the waiting time: it didn’t work, as the waiting list becomes longer and longer, that meaning huge more net profit (we will see it with the Q1 resume in April, but even more in Q2, 3 and 4. 1480$ per share THIS YEAR is not the best case scenario (we will probably get there in Q4). Just buy and hold.

  • allanyjj TeslaSmurf OP : so means if it bounce back and consolidation, all in?

  • TeslaSmurf OP allanyjj : It means that everything can happen because there is too much fear around, even if Tesla’s fundamental are getting crazier each following quarter. It shouldn’t go back to 700, but could enter in the 800’s or spike up immediately due to the many good news coming. Who says he can predict is saying bullshit: it’s a question of “controlled but volatile probabilities, dressed with the investor’s mass psicology and a lot of noise”. You just can plan the different possible actions at the different possible entry prices and stay alert.
    In normal times you can plan with more reliability, but Tesla is not a “normal” stock in any case.  Good luck.

TESLA holder and trader. Economics and tech studies, writer, traveller and chef for passion. FREE in SouthAmerica 😎
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