Inflation
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Food prices already jumped like thisl in the states.
Food prices already jumped like thisl in the states.
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LuckyPiggie : wow ... thats hell alot . What will be the impact to the US ? Those in Euro got to tighten belt really hard
SpyderCall OP : we are suffering here in US a tiny bit. less affluent people are hurting a lot though. But when demand gets affected by inflation then the US will spend lots of money to combat inflation. And the Fed meeting next month will not kill the market if its way down.
But if we are too far in the green then i would worry about the meeting
LuckyPiggie SpyderCall OP : Good Evening ( or early morning over midnite)
Fed with the QT probably end up less money to spend. Up the INT even w 50bp , not sure how much it will help in inflation. May even drive up cost (-> inflation) . Then unemployment will go up .... the cycle repeats.
LuckyPiggie : the 2 yr bond yield is high . up INT will get the new 2yr bond go even higher yield. actuallythe high inflation are reducing the real yield of the 2 yr bond indirectly good for the current bond.
... fed need to find a way to up the 10yr bond yield .
SpyderCall OP LuckyPiggie : its midnight. i just made it home....
you are absolutely right. But im not thinking that it will happen right away. US doesnt want to lose their grip over world markets. if we increase rates during an inverted curve it would be devastating. It might effect world markets. They want confidence with foreign investments going to US. So they might instill more false confidence for a little bit longer. that is what has happened in the past. But i dont know what will happen. it just makes more sense. anything can happen though. especially when the whole market is thinking the oposite
SpyderCall OP LuckyPiggie : even with QT i dont think US will ever run out of money. China is the same. There is too much money in these superpowers purses. they have plenty money. they just want to use it right at the right timin
just a thought
LuckyPiggie SpyderCall OP : pls call Uncle Joe , ask him drop off important goods from sanction Its not wise to kill the whole world just because of 1 country. how that make sense
SpyderCall OP LuckyPiggie : makes no sense bro. all of our presidents are not the best. they are usually business men. when i realized this i decided to get in the stock market
SpyderCall OP LuckyPiggie : the Fed says that the further out yields are harder to manipulate. "The shorter end of the yield curve us (easier) to (manipulate)." ... he said something like that.
MINIPULATION
SpyderCall OP LuckyPiggie : basically he can effect the 2 YR or less. The 10 YR and the 30 YR he cant touch. we both know the cycle is about to repeat. Are we READY when it does.