Bearish sentiment plunges to its lowest level since 2021
According to latest results from the AAII Sentiment Survey, the Bearish sentiment from individual investors fell to 27.5%. Pessimism was last lower on November 18, 2021 (27.2%).
What Direction Do AAII Members Feel The Stock Market Will Be In The Next 6 Months?
Sentiments
· Bullish sentiment - expectations that stock prices will rise over the next six months
- Decreased by 0.9 percentage points to 31.9%.
- Optimism remains below its historical average of 38.0% for the 19th consecutive week.
· Neutral sentiment - expectations that stock prices will stay essentially unchanged over the next six months
- Surged 8.8 percentage points to 40.6%.
- Neutral sentiment was last higher on January 1, 2020 (40.9%). The historical average is 31.5%.
· Bearish sentiment - expectations that stock prices will fall over the next six months
- Fell 7.9 percentage points to 27.5%.
- Pessimism was last lower on November 18, 2021 (27.2%).
- The drop ends an 18-consecutive-week streak of readings above the historical average of 30.5%.
Opinions: current valuation of stocks?
- Slightly more than half of all respondents (51%) feel that stocks are overvalued and that many investors are being too optimistic.
- In contrast, 20% of respondents say that they feel stocks are fairly valued given economic and global circumstances.
- Around 16% have a mixed outlook.
- These respondents say certain kinds of stocks, such as growth stocks, are overvalued while others, like value stocks, are undervalued. Just 5% of respondents see stocks as currently being undervalued.
About AAII Sentiment Survey
- Measures the percentage of individual investors who are bullish, bearish, and neutral on the stock market short term.
- Individuals are polled from the AAII Web site on a weekly basis.
- Individuals are polled from the AAII Web site on a weekly basis.
Source: AAII
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