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Skittish stock traders are bracing for $2 trillion option expiration

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Moomoo News Global wrote a column · Apr 14, 2022 06:45
Market Outlook
Bank and airline stocks have just kicked off the first earnings season as the Fed is starting the interest rate hikescycle. Stock traders will face a monthly options expiration estimated at more than $2 trillion this Thursday.
Roughly $495 billion in single-stock derivatives are set to expire Thursday, with another $980 billion of S&P 500-linked contracts and $170 billion in options tied to the $SPDR S&P 500 ETF(SPY.US)$ all running out as the holiday-shortened week ends, according to estimates from $Goldman Sachs(GS.US)$'s Rocky Fishman.
Understanding the event
Investors should watch out for the volatility underlying the market today. A similar pattern could also be found on quadruple witching day, a quarterly event that witnessed a large amount of derivative expiring.
Skittish stock traders are bracing for $2 trillion option expiration
Elevating options volume has been a regular feature of post-pandemic markets. Demand for bearish options has been growing amid choppier markets recently.
Macro preference
Chris Murphy, co-head of derivatives strategy at Susquehanna International Group believes Investors who bought puts in January and February when the market was selling off are way out of the money now, he said, which could mute the impact of expirations on market moves.
His team found that single-stock contracts are down 12% year-over-year. Meanwhile, index and ETF contracts increased 7% and 3%, respectively, versus year-earlier levels. "This is likely due to more of a focus on the macro environment and more hedging," he said.
Disclaimer: Past performance can't guarantee future results. Investing involves risk and the potential to lose principal. This article is for information and illustrative purposes only.
Disclaimer: Moomoo Technologies Inc. is providing this content for information and educational use only. Read more
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