bullrider_21
Excellent Contributor
commented on a stock · May 24, 2022 14:22
$Geo Energy Res (RE4.SG)$ The MA100 may provide support arou...
$Geo Energy Res (RE4.SG)$ The MA100 may provide support around 0.405. Giving out dividend is good. Sometimes it is better not to give and use the money for acquisitions to grow its earnings.
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HayashiYu
:
most of us her are long term investors, and we do for high dividend stock with potential growth, it is good to see the price drop sometimes so can buy more in, but of course have to know your limit. Short term fluctuating can happen, but we need to focus on the company's health meaning its earnings, potential growth, debts, cash flow, gov policy. I know there are some gov poicy that blocking palm oil producers from exporting but not yet see the news for coal mainly because Indo dont really use as much coal and Indo is one of the top exporter for coal if not top 3. For news wise, pay attention on Indo gov policy regarding export of coal , For good news we need to wait for China to ease locl down and go back to normal production, at least 80% of pre covid standard. China is the top importer for coal and the top producer for coal, they cannot switch to another energy source just like that, if they will ultimately face the fact that they need to live with covid then thats when we sit down and watch the stocks grow.
102489653
HayashiYu
:
2 questions 1) what is the outlook for it's stock price this year? 2) should the outlook is good for revenue, what will it be for it's dividends payout (minus off May) this year?
HayashiYu
:
1) No body can predict the price not even Warren Buffett, Jesse Livermore... etc. So I am not coming from the future and I am certainly not God so I dont know 2) For revenue wise I have said in the previouse comment, I can cut ot short here, basically this is a 99% coal mining industry, it's profit heavily affected by the coal price. So in simple terms we need to look at 3 things, production, coal price, and export. Production we can look at license of the mine, workers hired(make sure no riot or work union related issue), the reserve that the mine estimated to have. coal price, in really simple way to say all the price in a free market is depends on demond and supply. So keep track of policies make sure it stays in free market, and make sure the demond is increase and the supply for others is decrease. lastly export, if you have all the gold in the world but no body buy from you , you still have no money, you need to make sure you have people buy from you, in this case the company tried to incerese its porduction theu just to meet the sales so there is no sales problem until end of this year and i can safely say until next year end. But chances can be there might another covid-999 whole world neex to lock down again then economic need to force cool down again , ...etc. then yes some sales might be withdraw.
HayashiYu
102489653
:
Dividend wise I have reviewed the pass finacial statement, the CEO usually gives out about10% of its netprofit back to shareholders. The number of times dividen give out? usually company goes by 1,2,4,6,12 and the most comment ones are 1,2 and 4, reason? idk maybe its easier for them to do their accounting ? i am not sure but again dividend is not a must to give out but if they dont when they are earning big profit with no valid reason such as acquiring new mines , their are hurting the faith of the shareholders which may result in massive share sold and decrease in share price. I will guess 4 times this year in total which is normal, come on DBS, Singtel, MapleTree also never give more than 4 times... but i suspect the following dividend will not be so much maybe 2 % easch for the shareprice at the date of announce, but hey that means u will be getting about almost 10 cent a share with the average share price not even more than S$0.5 a share that huge bro.
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HayashiYu : most of us her are long term investors, and we do for high dividend stock with potential growth, it is good to see the price drop sometimes so can buy more in, but of course have to know your limit. Short term fluctuating can happen, but we need to focus on the company's health meaning its earnings, potential growth, debts, cash flow, gov policy. I know there are some gov poicy that blocking palm oil producers from exporting but not yet see the news for coal mainly because Indo dont really use as much coal and Indo is one of the top exporter for coal if not top 3.
For news wise, pay attention on Indo gov policy regarding export of coal , For good news we need to wait for China to ease locl down and go back to normal production, at least 80% of pre covid standard. China is the top importer for coal and the top producer for coal, they cannot switch to another energy source just like that, if they will ultimately face the fact that they need to live with covid then thats when we sit down and watch the stocks grow.
102489653 HayashiYu : 2 questions
1) what is the outlook for it's stock price this year?
2) should the outlook is good for revenue, what will it be for it's dividends payout (minus off May) this year?
HayashiYu : 1) No body can predict the price not even Warren Buffett, Jesse Livermore... etc. So I am not coming from the future and I am certainly not God so I dont know
2) For revenue wise I have said in the previouse comment, I can cut ot short here, basically this is a 99% coal mining industry, it's profit heavily affected by the coal price. So in simple terms we need to look at 3 things, production, coal price, and export. Production we can look at license of the mine, workers hired(make sure no riot or work union related issue), the reserve that the mine estimated to have.
coal price, in really simple way to say all the price in a free market is depends on demond and supply. So keep track of policies make sure it stays in free market, and make sure the demond is increase and the supply for others is decrease.
lastly export, if you have all the gold in the world but no body buy from you , you still have no money, you need to make sure you have people buy from you, in this case the company tried to incerese its porduction theu just to meet the sales so there is no sales problem until end of this year and i can safely say until next year end. But chances can be there might another covid-999 whole world neex to lock down again then economic need to force cool down again , ...etc. then yes some sales might be withdraw.
HayashiYu 102489653 : Dividend wise I have reviewed the pass finacial statement, the CEO usually gives out about10% of its netprofit back to shareholders. The number of times dividen give out? usually company goes by 1,2,4,6,12 and the most comment ones are 1,2 and 4, reason? idk maybe its easier for them to do their accounting ? i am not sure but again dividend is not a must to give out but if they dont when they are earning big profit with no valid reason such as acquiring new mines , their are hurting the faith of the shareholders which may result in massive share sold and decrease in share price. I will guess 4 times this year in total which is normal, come on DBS, Singtel, MapleTree also never give more than 4 times... but i suspect the following dividend will not be so much maybe 2 % easch for the shareprice at the date of announce, but hey that means u will be getting about almost 10 cent a share with the average share price not even more than S$0.5 a share that huge bro.
102489653 HayashiYu : that's comprehensive insight from you bro. thanks and appreciated.
102316999 : Hi brother, is RE4 possible bk to 0.5?
teo ho 101661850 : shall be supporting 41.5
bullrider_21 OP 102316999 : Hi. Yes, I believe it will rebound with Brent crude.
102316999 : Thanks bro![undefined [undefined]](https://static.moomoo.com/nnq/emoji/static/image/default/default-black.png?imageMogr2/thumbnail/36x36)
![undefined [undefined]](https://static.moomoo.com/nnq/emoji/static/image/default/default-black.png?imageMogr2/thumbnail/36x36)
bullrider_21 OP 102316999 : np