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Retail investors outperform hedge funds: will winners keep winning?
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As an ordinary retail investor, how do I view the weakness of the organization and the strategy to win the organization?

Recently, NIO Inc. 's stock went up and down like a psychopath. As soon as it rose to 15, someone immediately shouted NIO Inc. 20. The stock price immediately hit the face and plummeted to 13. Immediately, someone jumped out and blamed it for killing options in Gouzhuang. The whole day is full of all kinds of chicken hormone, all kinds of speculation, all kinds of information, dazzling and dizzying.

As the owner of NIO Inc. es8 and the holder of positive shares, I was deeply discouraged by the sharp drop in Q2 financial report that night. I didn't want to reply to the bears who saw jokes in the forum. I also sold my NIO Inc. stock on impulse because of a short period of negative emotion. Fortunately, chatting with a stockholder made me start to rethink my investment ideas.

First of all, admit that as a retail investor, you do not have the information advantage that the organization has, nor the short-term talent to make the right decisions quickly in a short time.

Because the stock market is a battlefield full of uncertainty.

The uncertainty is because the warring parties are shrouded in the fog of war, and everyone has to face a huge amount of information "fog" every day-- including the so-called "news" that various organizations want you to see. there are also reliable inside information disclosed by some mysterious person in the forum one day, such as what are the new changes in the game between China and the United States, what new tweets Wang has, and the Federal Reserve has expanded its list again. There has been a new adjustment in the monetary policy of our central bank, and a certain ministry has issued a new policy for a certain industry, such as increasing the reduction of industrial capital.

In the fog of these huge amounts of information, as ordinary retail investors, leeks, in the face of sudden ups and downs, it is very difficult to make the right investment decisions quickly-we do not have the information advantage of Wall Street investment banks, let alone a lot of financial power, and the most terrible thing is that we are like lambs waiting to be slaughtered most of the time, thinking that we are on the right road. Little do you realize that the trap set by institutions lies ahead. For example, after the release of NIO Inc. 's Q2 financial report, the stock price plummeted, and a large number of retail investors who bought 13.5 call options were buried alive.

With so much money, is it true that there is no weakness? Do we retail investors really have no choice but to accept our fate and always be buried alive by large capital institutions?

Personally, I don't think so. for us ordinary retail investors, we have advantages that dog farms or large capital institutions do not have: the time cost of retail investors is lower than that of large capital institutions (the premise is idle capital). As a retail investor, I can take the time to filter out the information and capital advantages of large capital institutions and turn investment into a simple process of accumulating wealth through time. Recognizing clearly that the purpose of large capital institutions must be to pursue profits in a short time, otherwise their performance will lag behind their peers and lose customers, so especially in stocks like NIO Inc., which are especially suitable for short-term speculation. As long as we retail investors are optimistic about the trend that NIO Inc. 's medium-and long-term fundamentals continue to improve, we retail investors cannot get out of the car, and do not compete with large capital institutions for the gains and losses of one city and one pool.

All in all, this is a pure "clumsy" strategy, which is to honestly admit that you are the stupidest person in a field you are not good at, and then choose the stupidest way. Stupid methods are inefficient and tedious in the short term, but if you lengthen the time period, stupid methods may be the most efficient and deterministic strategy.

I hope that all bosses can make money and find investment strategies that suit them and make them feel comfortable.

Have a good weekend.

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  • Musky : Were u suppose to post at NIO stock comments section?
    2nd. U would be glad u sold. Just buy in at a lower price range now or further in since now bearish market and the global outlook is poor at the moment.

  • bullshyt : don't compare with others. everyone has their own strategy.

    small players like us are called investors and we park money in and wait for long term. that one or two dollars price increase may mean 500 to 1k earning for us.

    whales like musk... that 10 cent increase may mean 100k to 1Million earnings for them. these are the players who can afford to "trade"  buy, sell, buy again, sell again.


    if you are an average investor like me, buy and hold then wait for the right moment to let go.

  • bullshyt : and if it drop further. continue to buy in to lower the average.

    2 months ago... from 18 drop to 12. I continued to buy in at every 1 dollar drop. then let go all at 18 or 19. you will still be earning. now is the same. 21 drop to 16+ now and it may drop further. just keep buying in and wait for the price to go back to the value of where you 1st buy in.

  • bullshyt : and for those who bought at 20, 19, 18, don't worry. there are others who bought at 30+ or 40+. you are still doing fine.

  • Musky bullshyt : That’s what I did. Buy in at AMC at 60. True story.

  • Lionnell : In for a quick swing to $18.00+

  • Geneva LL : that's fair

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