It's been a long time since I've done a post, or is it just me? I try to stay engaged with the community, but it's difficult, my time is stretched and I will spare you any other details
It's been some wild weeks but the important thing to remember is that
THE TREND IS STILL BEARISH there could be a bull rally this week maybe into next, but the trend is
BEARISH, bull rally's are a good time to sell calls, take profits, hedge positions, enter short positions and/or buy the bull rally for profits (I prefer to do this with leverage, either options or leveraged ETFs).
Well that's my strategy and it's built around my analysis and theory that the market will have two bull rally's by September when the major selloff "crash" will occur. This selloff will take
EVERYTHING with it, (then Metals, Oil, and other commodities will have a strong rebound). iam holding short until September, while playing the bull rally's
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iam also
LONG $Alibaba (BABA.US)$ (that's a new position for those that follow me, so I will include it in my charts) iam also opening a position in
$Direxion Daily FTSE China Bull 3X Shares ETF (YINN.US)$ so I will also include
$Hang Seng FTSE China 50 Index ETF (02838.HK)$ in my charts.
Ok here we go starting it off with
OIL!!! Here is the thing with oil, the price of oil can go up down or stay the same - it will have little effect on the price of gas, the price of gas will remain high and climb higher, oil refiners are operating at near 100% and can not refine fast enough to produce enough gasoline to cool the price. Now that being said, what do the charts say.
$Crude Oil Futures(MAY5) (CLmain.US)$
BruceLin8 : I am confused! You think BABA will drop down or go up?
iamiam OP BruceLin8 : its bound to go down sometime soon, when exactly I cant tell,![undefined [undefined]](https://static.moomoo.com/nnq/emoji/static/image/default/default-black.png?imageMogr2/thumbnail/36x36)
I think it will run up to 126 then have a pullback.
I entered under 114 so iam waiting for a spike and for it to go overbought and I will sell calls on it, and buy back in at the bottom, maybe around 114 again
Albert Ck : hi iam, it is a long waiting that to see your new post here.
For potash & uranium, do you mean that there will be same 02 bear rally on it, before its crashing more hard before mid September . only after then, it will rebound and boom from mid September?
Thanks. I am considering if that is way. I got to sell off my IPI and buy back when it fall to 30s later
102278988 : Welcome back, miss your posts!
iamiam OP Albert Ck : yes they should fully bottom around Sept, and then come back strong, that is all subject to change but has held for months now. They should also have a strong rebound bounce sometime between now and then.
APRoyalOak : Thanks for sharing. Just wondering if you are convenient and it will be great to advise us when and what to buy and sell off if possible.![undefined [undefined]](https://static.moomoo.com/nnq/emoji/static/image/default/default-black.png?imageMogr2/thumbnail/36x36)
![undefined [undefined]](https://static.moomoo.com/nnq/emoji/static/image/default/default-black.png?imageMogr2/thumbnail/36x36)
fionaa iamiam OP : What about redbox?
Jason Jason8 : Do you think the uvxy rally will not happen until the bull market sell-off in September?
iamiam OP Jason Jason8 : yes, I believe VIX is range bound until September ish, it may hit 35 maybe even 40 in august but then it will come back before going bonkers, and I mean bonkers 60-80ish
Jason Jason8 iamiam OP : Do you still think 25-26 is the best time to start?
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