Oil prices may be dropping, but oil is still headed for $140 per barrel, Goldman Sachs said on Thursday, and could even hit $140 in the face of a recession.
“$140 is still our base case because, unlike equity, which are anticipatory assets, commodities need to solve for today’s mismatched supply and demand,” energy analyst Damien Courvalin said, who compared today’s market to the recession in 2008.
At that time, oil prices rallied even during the first six months of the market downturn, bolstered by tight supplies as inventories continued to draw down, Courvalin explained. Eventually, oil prices were dragged down by the slowing economy. Goldman sees that happening again, even if we are headed for a recession—at least at the start of a recession.
Robust demand and a tight market this time around is compounded by years of underinvestment in oil exploration, creating this long-term supply issue that is immune to any speedy remedy. Goldman still sees Brent sinking to $85 if GDP growth outside China reaches zero, but tight crude oil supplies should put a floor under the price slide.
Cardinal-BagHolder : Long as POTATUS is selling our reserves to china while were dying over here…
Mr Trecherous Cardinal-BagHolder :
Revelation 6 Mr Trecherous : A place for a new national monument to the big guy. Come pay your 10% tribute to his greatness.
Twimmy21 : Do anyone believe GS for god’s sake? They are lecherous, given what they did during the GFC! Trading against clients!
efficentupup OP Twimmy21 : you will be 90% right
efficentupup OP Revelation 6 :
efficentupup OP Mr Trecherous :
efficentupup OP Cardinal-BagHolder : be ready for the worst
Mr Trecherous efficentupup OP :
Mr Trecherous :
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