FEDWATCH
CPI 9.1
Rise in the probability of a 100bps increase to 13 (previously 7.6).
This probability also needs to be price in
Rise in the probability of a 100bps increase to 13 (previously 7.6).
This probability also needs to be price in
Disclaimer: Community is offered by Moomoo Technologies Inc. and is for educational purposes only.
Read more
Comment
Sign in to post a comment
木易君羊 OP : It's higher
102766980 : It was 30 just now.
木易君羊 OP :
70538190 : Rising
456632345 : It's higher now, 63%.
Penguin 456632345 : It's useless, would you dare to go short now?
07140918 : It's already 77! Added SQQQ 54.3, wish me the best of luck
木易君羊 OP : SQQQ/TQQQ consumes too much during oscillation. I would choose to come back in time of big fluctuations, such as before a FOMC meeting or before a big company earnings report.
木易君羊 OP 07140918 : Now the market estimates the end of the interest rate from next May to December this year or January next year, the target interest rate from 4.00~ 4.25%, down to 3.75~ 4.00%. Interest rates in June next year also fell to 3.25~ 3.50% from an estimate of 4.00~ 4.25% a month ago.
This means that if you rise 4 yards this time, the tightening policy may end. There is still a chance to cut interest rates next year. So this should also be taken into account.