What will happen next?
I think nothing will happen after Pelosi visit, just some angry rhetoric and China banning more Taiwanese products. Maybe more military displays + live firing near Taiwan. This would be a good case scenario. Markets go back to a slow rebound to what it was. Although likely Biden will now face an even more uncooperative China to aid in its economic woe cum supply chain issue. Democrats would face a tougher mid term with mounting problems adding up one another.
But today sadly there might be a fanfare in the stock exchange with people dumping their load out of hysteria.
If however slim there is a military intervention happens, tomorrow it will break the supply chain and affect not just Asian Market but also America. China's huge economy at war will be a strain for not just China but the USA and Europe. World in general in fact. What Russia/Ukraine the world is suffering, except in folds. So nothing less than a complete armageddon.
The most optimistic or best case scenario, would be Pelosi in the end decided to skip Taiwan. Although chances are slim, this might result in a V rebound tomorrow. At least leaving a better taste for Biden to negotiate cooperation with China in regards to economical matters.
But likely this would be slim because the democrats are capitalising this for their mid term away from the attention of inflation.
In any case, the democrats and Biden administration expecting a smooth cooperation from China on economical matters in this election term would negotiate between a hard, extremely hard and impossible path.
What do you think will happen next?
But today sadly there might be a fanfare in the stock exchange with people dumping their load out of hysteria.
If however slim there is a military intervention happens, tomorrow it will break the supply chain and affect not just Asian Market but also America. China's huge economy at war will be a strain for not just China but the USA and Europe. World in general in fact. What Russia/Ukraine the world is suffering, except in folds. So nothing less than a complete armageddon.
The most optimistic or best case scenario, would be Pelosi in the end decided to skip Taiwan. Although chances are slim, this might result in a V rebound tomorrow. At least leaving a better taste for Biden to negotiate cooperation with China in regards to economical matters.
But likely this would be slim because the democrats are capitalising this for their mid term away from the attention of inflation.
In any case, the democrats and Biden administration expecting a smooth cooperation from China on economical matters in this election term would negotiate between a hard, extremely hard and impossible path.
What do you think will happen next?
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understanding Antelo : She'll definitely visit Taiwan as there's nothing to lose for her. if China pulls up some stunts they get what they want from another Russian - Ukraine proxy war while they sell more gun power to Taiwan and start to call UN to sanction China as well as all their trillions dollars debts to China will be write off. If China never pulls any action then it shows China just a paper tiger.. This is a win - win for the US.
they always create war on others ground.
Joejj OP understanding Antelo : Exactly. Biden and the democrats are losing popularity at the moment because of the ill handling of inflation, probably capitalizing on this to misdirect the public during mid term election.
China would respond, but the question is what. Hopefully nothing escalates. Or the world is going to suffer.
MonkeyGee : This will end badly for everyone.
Sgtrader88 : Out of the box speculation, Nancy might just take a commercial flight and fly into Taiwan with only a small number of body guards as commoners, not representing the USA government...
MonkeyGee Sgtrader88 : you think she would do that when she has all that shorts opened on the Asian market!
我只想赚个买菜钱 : Nothing happen after a while, it will back to usual, by the way, if u have much China friend, rich people dislike Gov, caused they are more educated and look forward to 'west' and freedom. Only those medium and low level people are love Gov much, caused they are lesser exposure themselve to Outside World.
Sgtrader88 MonkeyGee : Just an out of the box speculation..
I don't think you know the investment and trading style of Nancy and her husband..
Their official declarations on investments by law usually involves US companies ..using direct puchase or sale of shares or Leaps..
No short positions.. in Asia companies..
Sgtrader88 MonkeyGee : If you want to know more about Nancy's investment..
Search twitter: Nancy Pelosi Stock Tracker
understanding Antelo : https://youtu.be/VjqqRg8zU7E
watch this .. China already deployed 16 jets as training (warning) yesterday
datoldcat : Democrats desperate to make a show. Nancy is expendable if they can look tough. Another bad actor. Haha
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