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Will Oil Rally?


Oil had a solid green day yesterday when OPEC mentioned possible production cuts to stabilize volatile oil prices. This shows that they favor these high oil prices. There were talks that the Iranian nuclear deal will take longer than expected to reach a close of the deal. Part of the Iranian nuclear deal will allow Iran to release its oil back into the markets. This is one of the main reasons OPEC mentioned possible production cuts. Monday was bullish for oil.
Tuesday was a complete reversal as fears of a global slowdown continues to weaken future hopes of higher oil prices. This was due to be ECB hinting towards a .75 bps rate hike to fight inflation. Not to mention the Federal Reserve hinting towards higher interest rates for longer than expected. These two factors hinder growth which is negative for oil.
Where will oil futures price go to next? Keep your ears open for any news that pertains to supply or demand of oil. For example the oil pipeline problems in Kazakhstan effecting the supply side. The next possible major catalyst for oil futures will come on September 5th when the countries of OPEC meet to discuss future oil policy.
The technical outlook is a simple price channel with well defined support and resistance levels to trade with. You can see the price channel in the chart below. Until there is some kind of catalyst to break the price out of this range then this price channel is the only thing we have to go off of.
Will Oil Rally?
I should mention the long-term support level that crude oil future's price is hovering just above. If the price dips below this strong technical support level then it will look a bit more bearish on the long term outlook technically speaking. It would even make the two previous highs in oil appear like a bearish double top candlestick formation.
Will Oil Rally?
Will Oil Rally?
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Check out the video "Will Oil Rally?" in the link above. The quality of my videos will improve as time passes. I am not a content maker by any means so Im open to any criticisms or suggestions on how to improve the content. Feel free to let me know.
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Trade the trends via technical, fundamental, and macro analysis. Day Trades, swing trades, and long-term investments.
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