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If conference call upbeat Q4 production & deliveries, confirms the reduced lead time caused by more efficient production, and Q3 actual deliveries higher than estimate, 245 is feasible.

$Tesla(TSLA.US)$
if announce buyback shares in Q4, new models with solar feature in 2023-2024, or locations of new gigafactories, GM > 28% in 2023, no disruption of batteries and supply chains, back to $275-$305 is also feasible.
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