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$Nasdaq Composite Index (.IXIC.US)$ From a technical perspec...

$Nasdaq Composite Index (.IXIC.US)$ From a technical perspective, as long as the Nasdaq futures break through the 11,729 level, they will likely break through the 20-day moving average and gain momentum. From the perspective of magnetic points, the 11,729 level also has a strong attractiveness for upward breakthroughs. The 20-day moving average is often a reliable turning point for bull and bear trends.

From the historical volatility of the Nasdaq, combined with the historical volatility of other leading stocks that will release earnings reports this week, there is data suggesting that the market is betting on a decrease in volatility, thereby betting that the Nasdaq will move downward next. The principle is achieved by betting on a decrease in the implied volatility of the underlying stock options.

The realization of volatility requires the occurrence of events that are bet on in advance as catalysts, including but not limited to the Microsoft and Google earnings reports at the end of Wednesday, as well as subsequent important economic data. The key is to see which point the market is betting on.

Trend indicators are lagging indicators, while implied volatility is a leading indicator. When these two indicators diverge, caution is advised.

It is recommended to wait for confirmation of a break above the 20-day moving average and be prepared for portfolio adjustments.

For reference only, not investment advice.
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