What do you think will be the bottom price of this wave of the S&P bear market?

Based on past experience, the stock market truly bottoms out when the VIX reaches 50 or higher!
But in this bear market, the S&P briefly touched a price of 3491, but the VIX has yet to reach 50 or higher (peaking at only 38)! Will this time be different from the past? I think only time can answer that~
However, due to the experiences of the past two years, investors have developed the mentality of investing again, believing that if it drops today, it will rise tomorrow~
It seems that the world is gradually moving away from globalization towards deglobalization!
In addition, with the excessive quantitative easing of the past two years and the current violent interest rate hikes, I personally think that the probability of a financial crisis is somewhat high and difficult to prevent~
Because derivative commodities are so complex, even the trading managers may not know, FED can only wait until things really happen to rescue the market under such circumstances and background!
But whether the worst scenario will happen, no one knows!
Although the personal view is very high probability...
Feel free to leave comments for discussion!
And if it really happens, where do you think the S&P spot will correct to? And that level will make you willing to go all in and buy the dip at all costs!?
Welcome to vote and discuss together~
The voting time is until the end of this year, after all, personally, I think the possible time is next year 🤣🤣