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$MEITUAN-W (03690.HK)$ Fortunately, the market has almost di...
$MEITUAN-W (03690.HK)$ Fortunately, the negative factors in the market have been almost digested, and currently I think there are several key points to consider.
1. Although the market expects a year-on-year decline in revenue, the magnitude is only 0.68%. If it performs slightly better, it will exceed expectations. The strengthening of investor confidence in the secondary market is doubled when they expect a decline but actually see growth.
2. Although the gaming revenue in Q3 is not good, there was a 5% increase in gaming revenue in October, with a 12% increase in overseas revenue, indicating some recovery. In addition, we also need to pay attention to the deferred revenue in Q3 and anticipate its impact in the subsequent quarters.
3. Tencent has achieved "cost reduction and efficiency improvement" over multiple quarters, and cost control may be stronger than expected. Additionally, profits may exceed expectations, indicating that the internal operational improvements have been effective. It is rumored that there will be layoffs in some business units by the end of the year, which is good news for shareholders.
4. Investors who focus on Tencent's non-operating income also need to pay attention. Companies held by Tencent, such as Meituan, Kuaishou, and PDD Holdings, actually experienced a certain degree of rebound in Q2, which means positive impact on the fair value changes.
In summary, the possibility of Tencent's Q3 financial report exceeding market expectations is higher. From the trading on the 15th, we can also see that the market's expectations for Tencent have further strengthened.
If you have a lot of confidence in the financial report, you can naturally buy the stock or call the call option.
Of course, if you think there will be a correction after a big rise or if you don't have a positive view of the Q3 financial report, you can choose to buy put options for speculative trading.
For those who already hold Tencent, you can choose covered options to obtain higher returns (sell call options at higher prices), or lock in the current price returns (sell call options at the money or slightly in the money).
At this critical juncture, although many people may think a correction is necessary, wouldn't they dare to short directly? $TRIP.COM-S (09961.HK)$ $TENCENT (00700.HK)$
1. Although the market expects a year-on-year decline in revenue, the magnitude is only 0.68%. If it performs slightly better, it will exceed expectations. The strengthening of investor confidence in the secondary market is doubled when they expect a decline but actually see growth.
2. Although the gaming revenue in Q3 is not good, there was a 5% increase in gaming revenue in October, with a 12% increase in overseas revenue, indicating some recovery. In addition, we also need to pay attention to the deferred revenue in Q3 and anticipate its impact in the subsequent quarters.
3. Tencent has achieved "cost reduction and efficiency improvement" over multiple quarters, and cost control may be stronger than expected. Additionally, profits may exceed expectations, indicating that the internal operational improvements have been effective. It is rumored that there will be layoffs in some business units by the end of the year, which is good news for shareholders.
4. Investors who focus on Tencent's non-operating income also need to pay attention. Companies held by Tencent, such as Meituan, Kuaishou, and PDD Holdings, actually experienced a certain degree of rebound in Q2, which means positive impact on the fair value changes.
In summary, the possibility of Tencent's Q3 financial report exceeding market expectations is higher. From the trading on the 15th, we can also see that the market's expectations for Tencent have further strengthened.
If you have a lot of confidence in the financial report, you can naturally buy the stock or call the call option.
Of course, if you think there will be a correction after a big rise or if you don't have a positive view of the Q3 financial report, you can choose to buy put options for speculative trading.
For those who already hold Tencent, you can choose covered options to obtain higher returns (sell call options at higher prices), or lock in the current price returns (sell call options at the money or slightly in the money).
At this critical juncture, although many people may think a correction is necessary, wouldn't they dare to short directly? $TRIP.COM-S (09961.HK)$ $TENCENT (00700.HK)$
Disclaimer: Community is offered by Moomoo Technologies Inc. and is for educational purposes only.
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Trump 2.0 Era: How will global markets evolve?
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Jan 23 16:54
MicroStrategy Q4 2024 earnings conference call
102869948coco : Has the financial report been released
charming OP 102869948coco : The financial report will be released tomorrow.
Peter YCS : When it is said that there is a profit, the stock price falls
.
charming OP : The earnings exceeded expectations.
charming OP Peter YCS : Tencent and Meituan will definitely have a rebound in the short term.
Peter YCS : Us stocks fell, and so did new stocks. Will the world be destroyed without America? There is no autonomy. Hope the Hang Seng Index will rise