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Key reference data

$E-mini NASDAQ 100 Futures(SEP4)(NQmain.US)$ 1. The US 10-year Treasury yield period index: short-term: breaking the downward trend, closing at 3.837, +1.53% on the 18th, rising for two consecutive days. Long-term: At a high level.

2. US dollar index: short-term: breaking trend, closing 106.97 points on the 18th, +0.28%. Long-term: In a strong position.

3. The US dollar offshore RMB exchange rate: short-term break, bearish trend, closed at 7.1225 on the 18th, +0.37%, rebounded for 2 trading days. Long-term: In a strong position.

4: WTI crude oil futures. Short-term: Daily bearish trend, closing 80.26 points on the 18th, -1.40%. Long term: Located in a high position.

5. Vix futures index: a weak trend in sideways trading. The 18th closed 24.5 points, -1.05%. In the current situation, I personally think that intraday changes will be closely watched every few days. It continues to weaken, and market sentiment is stable.

6. Star stock performance: Apple +0.38%, Microsoft -0.19%, Google -0.95%, Amazon -0.75%, Meta +0.54%, Tesla -1.63%, Nvidia -1.71%.

Trend forecast for 4 and Friday

Forecast of next week's trend: Vix's bearish trend. It closed below the 5-day EMA for 3 consecutive days, but it was unable to fall. It fell sharply on Thursday and soon pulled back, indicating that the market is very strong. Technology deviated from the bottom of the underwater gold fork last week. It has been adjusted in this position for 3 days. It is time to choose the direction, and it is difficult to knock down the index without a big gap. Next week - the pressure level is 120 EMA at 11986. After breaking through 11986, the pressure level is unknown.

Next Monday, the 120 average pressure level will be 11986 points, and the 20 support level will average 11,394 points. (The support level or pressure level is a reference for actual operation. The market is always right. All we can do is follow. After breaking through the support level or pressure level, we need to evaluate whether the breakthrough is real or false, and change our views and adjust the operation strategy in a timely manner)

The current rebound, the Dow index was the strongest, followed by S&P, and the NASDAQ was the weakest. (Risk: 1. News impact, 2. Economic data, 3. Black Thursday and Friday, 4. Short-term rebound too high and back on the moving average)

Solemnly state:

1. My personal opinion is for reference only. Your profit and loss have nothing to do with me $NVIDIA(NVDA.US)$ $Microsoft(MSFT.US)$
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