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Why most of people don't believe FED is gonna achieve soft landing?

Inflation growth is going down,in recent month there are no more data pointing out that inflation is increasing, unemployment is still very low, earnings are decent, GDP Q4 growth, China reopening, war has deescalated, oil price going down a lot.Even if we have recession, its gonna be really mild one. There are so many indicators and data pointing out to soft landing which would mean bottom was in at 3500.
Its not like something is terribly wrong with economy, in few months as soon core inflation goes below 5% things will get much better.
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  • cmarkboy : With due respect, when Putin starts talking about changing their national nuclear policy from a defensive stance to a preemptive strike position, I do not see how war has de-escalated. Ukraine appears to have launched air strikes deeper into Russian territory as well, which serves to escalate the war tension, in my view.

    The US housing market also appears to be in a recession already, and if the data is to be believed, we seem to be facing a similar situation to the time preceding the housing market crash in 2007-2008, which was one of the major factors of the global financial crisis at that time.  Additionally, China’s housing market is in dire straits with major lenders facing threats of loan defaults as big construction firms struggle with their cash flow.

    Personally, I think we may face a global financial situation as bad as that in 2007-2008 or potentially worse.

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