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What to Expect in the Last CPI of the Year, and What's Ahead

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Analysts Notebook wrote a column · Dec 12, 2022 07:37
The final CPI report for 2022 due Tuesday is projected to slow to a 7.3% annual increase in November. The year-over-year core CPI is set to increase to 6.1%.
While housing is uncertain, used car prices and the cost of medical care are expected to decline.
What to Expect in the Last CPI of the Year, and What's Ahead
The price outlook for the following year would depend on three factors: goods, housing, and wages.
The Fed's policy rate is seen to peak at 4.9% in the first half of 2023, according to pricing in the futures market.
What to Expect in the Last CPI of the Year, and What's Ahead
And the fed funds rate would be in a range of 4.25%-4.5% after a potential half-point increase on Dec. 14.
Source: Bloomberg
Disclaimer: Investing involves risk and the potential to lose principal. Past performance does not guarantee future results. This is for information and illustrative purposes only. It should not be relied on as advice or recommendation.
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