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I think bear market could be over. What is your objective opinion?

Seems that all earnings came out really decent(opposite what bears have been hinting),even Tesla beat expectations and tech stock saw 50-60% correction and were basically oversold, unemployement is low, GDP Q4 growth 3-4%,war is Ukraine is has been localized on only 2 regions,oil/gas price has normalized, inflation going down fast, housing cooling which is basically what FED wanted to see.
25bps increases are already priced in for Feb/Mar and we already know they are gonna keep rates through most 2023 with pause probably happening in April or maybe even March.
Honestly i really don't know what would have to happen for SP500 go 10-15% down from 4000?
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