The downside risk of TLT
Since Friday's PCE was too strong, the bond market once again raised interest rate expectations. We are currently seeing 90-95 under TLT. My position was reduced from 30% to 20%, and when it dropped to around 95, I added 10% back. If it falls further to around 90, I will increase my position by another 10% to 40%.
I still have 15% of the position $ProShares UltraShort Yen(YCS.US$ It's considered a kind of protection, isn't it?
If it falls below 90, we'll have to see what happens. Did Paul Volcker come back to life and become attached to Bao Lao Pigeon? If so, then there is no choice but to stop loss. If the federal interest rate hits above 10%, then the bond market is bound to bleed![]()
If not, keep adding positions, buy as low as possible![]()
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本人散户，闲钱投资，名字为系统生成。这里记录投资感悟与趣事。所有言论都纯属娱乐，不是投资建议。此账号为本人唯一社媒平台。
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Ebaox : Please let me know: now the annualization of the monetary funds on Moomoo is close to 4%. Is there any need to buy bonds? The returns are out of stock, and the risk is still a little higher![[undefined]](https://static.moomoo.com/nnq/emoji/static/image/default/default-black.png?imageMogr2/thumbnail/36x36 "undefined")
高贵的阿德莱德 OP Ebaox : Look at everyone's investment goals and risk tolerance. My goal is to get at least 8%, so I can't reach my goal by just buying IMF. But if interest rates rise to 8%, I'll just buy the IMF![[undefined]](https://static.moomoo.com/nnq/emoji/static/image/default/default-black.png?imageMogr2/thumbnail/36x36 "undefined")
高贵的阿德莱德 OP Ebaox : Investing in TLT not only has a dividend of around 3%, but there is also potential for growth. There was a wave of rise from 100 to 105, and as long as it was caught, it was 5%. Everyone is seriously investing in the bond market; there's nothing about Wall Street deliberately cutting off chives. As long as you make the right judgments, you can make money
Ebaox 高贵的阿德莱德 OP : I still think the bond market is rising too slowly; stocks with high dividends like BTI are more attractive
高贵的阿德莱德 OP Ebaox : Of course, the return on stock investment is higher. Dividend stocks are also stocks; it depends on fundamentals and technology. Too high a dividend rate isn't necessarily a good thing. If money needs to be used to develop performance, it can't all be used to pay dividends