DB fall
$E-mini NASDAQ 100 Futures(SEP4)(NQmain.US$ Just as I mentioned, who is the next target? Deutsche Bank. Will NQ sustain this time? I dont really know. looks like short US2000 is a better idea?
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Siqi Lei OP : Never mind. I have to respect the market. I bought back the Mnq short for now. And wait for another spike to sell. Ideally above 12950.
下一个十年的雷熊 : Even if many banks have problems, they will soon be erased in the cradle by various governments![[undefined]](https://static.moomoo.com/nnq/emoji/static/image/default/default-black.png?imageMogr2/thumbnail/36x36 "undefined")
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It's just that black swans don't spread their wings and fly. After watching it, I felt like I was deceiving people every time. Deceiving us the amount of financial turmoil![[undefined]](https://static.moomoo.com/nnq/emoji/static/image/default/default-black.png?imageMogr2/thumbnail/36x36 "undefined")
razo2 下一个十年的雷熊 : you probably don't understand finance very much. banks are integrated, business are integrated. one falls the rest will. read a bit how 2008 collapse then you can understand better why people is concerned. the government cannot bail out everything because it will cause hyperinflation to the existing inflation that we face today. last time 2008 and 1970 you can ask how come they can do a quick QE? because that time they have M1 &M2 money supply to absorb the shock of the debt crisis. now look at M1&M2 supply and you can understand why the situation is no longer the same. US government had printed alot of money back in 2008 to help the economy, China was in 2 digit GDP growth to help carry US out of the depression. China is no longer pulling that life line to US government. instead they selling US bonds by the billions.
razo2 下一个十年的雷熊 : I am not sure you know this. banks are increasing their FD interest rates since December in Asian countries. they are increasing the liquidity on their reserve to anticipate a crash soon. watch the banks provision loss accounts, every banks had increased it by alot.
Siqi Lei OP razo2 : But I think DB is going to be ok. Should be fully surveyed by ECB after CS issue. ECB is being harsh on inflation, the most headache issue for them is the structural price hike. This time the western is going to suffer a lot for inflation, reflation, and stagflation.
Siqi Lei OP razo2 : The reason I bought back my MNQ shorts is that the market now is in a crazy trap, treating every black swan as a buy dip. Got to respect it, since the 10yr rate drop so much. But i am resilient to stay in the short side for technology stocks, they arr simply inflated and worth only half of the value than it should be. US is sinking in the dream of crisis bailout.
razo2 Siqi Lei OP : well said. but my concern of the debt on the credit card, car and house. COVID created a very similar spending problem we had in the past.
razo2 Siqi Lei OP : spoken like a bond trader. bonds traders never get it wrong. but equity market is usually bullish to the end. look at 1970 Paul Volcker with 14% inflation market still rally 9 times before he slams the breaks with 20% interest rates.
下一个十年的雷熊 razo2 : But the market is ignoring it![[undefined]](https://static.moomoo.com/nnq/emoji/static/image/default/default-black.png?imageMogr2/thumbnail/36x36 "undefined")
Since the Silicon Valley banking incident, NASDAQ has soared by thousands of points. No matter what the incident is, the most important thing is the rise and fall results of the stock market. The result is that technology stocks are unusually strong and rise violently at random![[undefined]](https://static.moomoo.com/nnq/emoji/static/image/default/default-black.png?imageMogr2/thumbnail/36x36 "undefined")
Seraphicall Siqi Lei OP : I agree with your stand about tech stocks. Hyper inflated at this instance. The bubble gotta burst real soon and will be very harsh on the market as a whole. For now, following the trend is the proper short term takeaway.
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