One of the stocks with the best stock performance
Stock equity, I mean fun.
The rise and fall is large, the speed is fast, and the turnover rate is high. Agencies and retail investors are playing. Support levels and pressure levels are easy to find, so it's easy to judge the price and direction. Even if the judgment is wrong, just stop losing quickly.
Leaving aside making money, from an entertainment perspective alone, it's hard to find a stock as fun as Tesla. If you trade stocks only to make money, you can outperform the vast majority of people by investing in SPY or QQQ every week without having to fiddle around so much.
Tesla is also really interesting. Although there have been many downsides recently, such as secret photography, recall, and insiders binge selling of stocks, stock prices have not plummeted. When it was replaced by another company, I'm afraid the stock price would have fallen into a dog for a long time. Mainly the last round of the V-shaped reversal. Many people missed it, and now they are very afraid to miss it again. Furthermore, the cessation of interest rate hikes has been interpreted as favorable. In my opinion, it only favors the bond market; I have reservations about the stock market.
$iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT.US)$ If there is a pullback, it is considered that it has been blocked and retracted. As soon as the support level below is reached, I will continue to increase my position.
Let's also talk about the current economic environment. I don't dare to talk nonsense all over the country, yet I am surrounded by a double whammy of ice and fire.
A nearby supermarket chain is finally no longer hiring. It's not that the business is bad, but that they have recruited a group of grandparents to work as cashiers. The cashier window is finally working properly, but half of the cashiers are elderly. When I checked out, I'm afraid my grandmother was 90 years old; at least she was over 80. The bones of the body are probably fine; at least I can stand there and work. But as a customer, I'm also very helpless. I bought ten things, and was usually able to walk the fast track, but my grandmother's hands were a little shaky, her eyes couldn't see clearly, and the checkout system wasn't very easy to use. It took about ten minutes to check out ten things, and the manager was called twice during this period to help. It makes people feel sad and helpless. It's not easy for Grandma, and I definitely won't complain, but he thinks my world is valuable, so next time I'll go to other supermarkets to buy things. I hope other supermarkets don't have a red sunset checkout group. Why do these grandparents still work? Is my pension not enough, or do my children need to grow old? Either way, it shows that the economic situation is worrying. You know, in a country where the elderly work so hard, I can only think of Japan, which has been lost for more than 30 years.
On the other side, the restaurant business has exploded. Maybe it was just in time for the Easter holidays and went to American restaurants on a whim. As a result, the number of people exploded. They were all young and middle-aged, and the business was excellent. It's a chain restaurant. I used to go there often, and I've never waited for a seat, so I never thought I'd have to make a reservation. I wanted to change one later, but so were other restaurants nearby, so there's no point in changing. I didn't want to eat McDonald's during the holidays, so I had to wait almost an hour. Had it not been for the old people working in supermarkets, I would have thought that the economic situation in the US had improved to the point of exploding.
So is the US economy good or bad?
Actually, it all depends on Grandpa Bao. As soon as he relinquishes controlling inflation, everything will be fine.
Speaking of $McDonald's (MCD.US)$ The price increase in Hamburg does not seem to be moving, while labor costs are estimated to remain high. Cost estimates cannot continue to be passed on to consumers. Therefore, there is a risk that profit margins will decline for some time to come. In particular, if prices of agricultural products rise again and wages and prices continue to spiral, that would be terrible. However, the current price-earnings ratio is too high.
$Costco (COST.US)$ Its performance has also begun to weaken. I think it's mainly because things are too expensive. I'm going to Costco now, and I really don't have any desire to shop for most things. Buy some breakfast and food, see if there are any clearance sales items, buy at most one grilled chicken (actually, I'm almost puking), and eat a hot dog (I'm about to eat and throw up too). After all, I have been a regular customer for many years. Looking at things that used to cost 120 yuan, now they sell for 450 yuan, and they can only return to 230 yuan during clearance. So if I don't need it, I really can't buy it; I'll have to wait for the clearance sale before buying it.
As to whether stopping interest rate hikes will benefit technology stocks? Anyway, at present, all the money of young people goes to food, drink, and the elderly have to work hard to make money. I really can't see why the performance of technology stocks is increasing. Of course, the performance of many so-called technology stocks is not directly linked to stock prices. Some companies don't even have decent products. As long as financing is cut off, they will quickly go bankrupt, yet stock prices can continue to rise. This is beyond my scope of perception, and I won't touch these stocks.
A great Chinese once said: Overuse must be overdone. I think it's quite right that to suppress inflation, interest rate increases must be added to deflation. What's behind all of this is Murphy's law of inflation: as long as people still worry about inflation, then inflation isn't over yet. It is only by making everyone think that as long as they don't buy now and then wait, things will become cheaper and cheaper, that is, there is an expectation of deflation, so that the cycle of inflation can be completely broken.
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本人散户，闲钱投资，名字为系统生成。这里记录投资感悟与趣事。所有言论都纯属娱乐，不是投资建议。此账号为本人唯一社媒平台。
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mubbiiee : The last paragraph is very well written. It is necessary to break inflation expectations in order to suppress inflation. Currently, it seems too early. As for grandmothers coming out to work, another possibility is that their wages are good, they get a pension, and they can also do some social work when they go to work. Why not? There are also a lot of retirees at my homedepot, but they are happy to do it. Obviously, it's not that my pension isn't enough. I've also talked to others; it's actually on social media![[undefined]](https://static.moomoo.com/nnq/emoji/static/image/default/default-black.png?imageMogr2/thumbnail/36x36 "undefined")
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高贵的阿德莱德 OP mubbiiee : Um, that makes sense, I hope so