パウ兄 wrote a post · Apr 13, 2023 06:21

【Breaking News】Complete explanation of the minutes of the March FOMC meeting.

☑️A gradual economic downturn from the latter half of this year.

☑️PCE 2.8% and Core CPI 3.5% this year.

☑️A period when real GDP falls below the trend is necessary for inflation suppression.

The degree of disinflation is smaller than the previous data due to the revised price data, and inflation is still quite high.

Considering additional monetary policies to lower long-term inflation expectations.

⭐️Summary: Emphasizing the acceptance of a economic downturn in the second half of this year (after the 3rd quarter) to suppress inflation. Concerned about the sustained high long-term inflation expectations, considering new tightening measures, and emphasizing the maintenance of a tightening stance while anticipating credit contraction. Will there be MBS sales?

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パウ兄

Fed金融政策マイスター/経済シナリオライター/note超考察シリーズ筆者/

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