Stocks Just Flashed Another Signal That a New Bull Market May Have Begun, Fundstrat Says
The S&P 500 has rallied nearly 20% from its mid-October low. And another bullish technical signal suggests that the year-long bear market has given way to a new bull market.
As inflation shows signs of easing and the job market remains strong, a growing chorus of warnings about a hard landing and impending recession is falling flat -- the possibility that an actual recession could have already come and gone, according to Fundstrat's Tom Lee.
"The S&P 500 has now spent more than 25 weeks above its 200-week moving average. Since 1950, there are zero instances of the S&P 500 making a new low once it has recovered above the 200-week moving average and spent at least 15 weeks there," he explained.
Notice that the date in the blue box is when the S&P 500 started to pass its 200-WMA. For each time, the S&P 500 had been remaining above its 200-WMA for at least 25 weeks. The red box shows the S&P 500 started to pass its 200-WMA on 10/21/2022, and it's now been 25 weeks since then without falling back to its 200-WMA.
This signal has a 100% win ratio with positive one-, three-, six- and 12-month returns each time the S&P 500 passed the milestone of staying above its 200-week moving average for 25 consecutive weeks.
Source: Markets Insider, Fundstrat
Disclaimer: Moomoo Technologies Inc. is providing this content for information and educational use only.
Read more
ragamuffin : Bulls, we got this…hopefully!
73158513 : Yeah right
Rookie22 : Dead cat bounce
not-a-cow : The bull market won't start until the economy is in a recession and the Fed is forced to cut rates.
RTZBB : this thing is joking right