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I'll tell you about a failure, I sold XOM at 36.

$ZIM Integrated Shipping (ZIM.US)$ Started bottom fishing XOM at 40, the second entry was at 35. Total of 400 shares. 36 was actually the entry point for the second buy, but stopped out. XOM is at 120 today.
Cyclical stocks, institutions will chase high and low prices unbelievably.
Warning ⚠️, the economy is still in recession, at least until the end of the year for a rebound, so institutions will continue to cut losses. Just buy slowly.
Shipping seems like a bad business on Wall Street, because a ship will be used for 15 to 20 years, spanning 2 economic cycles. If it sinks, collides, gets hijacked, causes a liability incident, and the containers sell for little in auction, general average effect is limited. ESG requirements force old ships to be decommissioned early. So...Star Bulk is the lease crazy. Now airlines also mainly lease planes, selling ownership to financial institutions. The responsibilities with planes are different, have to compensate if they crash, many maritime laws are hereditary exemptions...Either the shipowner takes responsibility, leasing a ship is high operating cost, but otherwise quite safe.
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CFA, FRM, P-Quant。然而自己投资并不量化…个人投资观点,不代表供职的银行或客户(反正我看不到)。不提供投资建议。
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