April US non-farm payrolls exceed expectations.
In April, the US non-farm payrolls added an unexpected 0.253 million people, an increase of 0.068 million more than expected. The unemployment rate did not rebound as analysts predicted, but further decreased to 3.4%, reaching a new low in half a century. Average hourly wages rose faster than expected, reflecting the resilience of the labor market under the continuous tightening environment of the Federal Reserve and new upward pressure on inflation.
Stable employment data temporarily eased investors' concerns about an economic recession. Some analysts have said that this non-farm payroll report is yet another sign that the Fed has not yet damaged the economy. The most powerful argument of the bears is nothing more than a recession is imminent, but it is hard to draw such a bearish conclusion unless we see signs of it in the employment data.
Fed officials continue to be hawkish.
Fed's hawkish leader, Brad, said that he supports a 25 basis point rate hike this week and believes it would be a good next step for the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) as inflation remains high. He believes that the US situation is one of slow economic growth, a somewhat weak labor market, and declining inflation, and the Fed can still achieve a soft landing for the economy.
BofA: Fed's pause in rate hikes is not a reason to buy stocks.
Bank of America strategist Michael Hartnett said that due to high inflation and market concerns about economic recession, with accelerating capital outflows, it is not yet time to buy stocks. Bank of America cited data from EPFR Global stating that as of the week ending on May 3, the redemption scale of global stock funds reached $6.6 billion, the highest level in over two months.