Looking back at last year's ghost stories, Meta missed revenue expectations, with continued losses in the metaverse amid the continuous rate hikes at that time. For companies without visible hope like this, the market basically crashed directly. For NVIDIA, revenue kept declining, along with sanctions, resulting in the stock price hitting a new low and directly collapsing SOXL. This is a typical valuation collapse brought on by the rising interest rate cycle. With the latest interest rate announcement, the Federal Reserve is hinting that this may be the final rate hike. To some extent, we can expect a rate cut to appear. As the fastest interest rate cycle, even if it hasn't ended, it's already nearing the finish line. Although the rate cut hasn't started, the market is speculative, always ahead of the facts.
ZnWC : Your post is very long but I read til the end anyway. I agree with most of your points espescially about going long. I'd like to add on certain points about Tesla and the current economy.
There're many good news about Tesla posted by many genuine supporters (Tesla's haters called them T-bulls). They're not easy to find because Tesla, unlike it's competitors, don't pay for advertisement. You'll read many negative bias articles about Tesla (mostly are copied from each others) you called them ghost stories because of paid influencers and haters. Don't be misguided and have a balanced view.
Personally I think US economy won't go to depression, yes recession but a mild one with soft landing on certain sectors. Bank sectors get the hardest hit, AI related stocks are rising - Microsoft and Meta have invested heavily on AI. Note that in short term share price don't follow earning reports, it follows market sentiment.
ZnWC : Here are the good news about Tesla:
Good news about Tesla - more than you think
https://www.moomoo.com/community/feed/110280087110438?data_ticket=212ca245a589f1e400fb2e247953bc77
Here is what haters like to say about Tesla:
Things Only Haters Say About Tesla
https://www.moomoo.com/community/feed/110307977068550?data_ticket=212ca245a589f1e400fb2e247953bc77
Cathbeby OP ZnWC : What kind of impact do you think next week's CPI data will have on the stock market?
ZnWC Cathbeby OP : CPI data will show if FED rate hike is effective in cooling inflation. The impact is minimum because most hedge funds and whales have already factored in that inflation will stay high til end of this year and rate may pause in the next announcement.
But market sentiment about share price is still very sensitive to such news. In general, share price remains volatile - correction due to profit taking but not crash. If you're taking long position, nothing to worry. For day trader, you need more than just CPI data to reap profit.
Cathbeby OP ZnWC : The Fed is under a lot of pressure right now. The market economy is still very unstable after the end of this rate hike, and inflation has not been effectively curbed. Including the influence of the dollar in the international market also needs to be solid, I hope that next week's CPI data can give the Fed to reduce the pressure