BA
Boeing
-- 180.720 TSLA
Tesla
-- 431.660 NVDA
NVIDIA
-- 137.010 RGTI
Rigetti Computing
-- 17.0800 PLTR
Palantir
-- 79.080 
If you haven't bought it yet, then continue to wait
Previously on vacation, missed the buying point of Tesla around 155, now as expected it has risen to around 175, encountered resistance and pulled back. Missing this wave is indeed a bit regrettable. But coming back from vacation, Tesla was already above 160, a ten dollar increase is not worth the risk. The overall outlook for the auto industry this year is pessimistic, even Tesla has to bow its head under the eaves, so chasing highs is not suitable.
$Apple (AAPL.US)$ Similar situation here. This year, smartphones are also bearish. $Qualcomm (QCOM.US)$ This is just an example (fortunately I sold everything before my vacation). However, due to various dirty reasons, Apple is currently dominating the market. Apple is much more stable than Tesla, but it is also difficult to grow further. After Buffett finished the shareholders' meeting last year, Apple began to decline sharply. I wonder how it will be this year?
Currently, my major holdings are:
1. Long-term bonds, $iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT.US)$ Today it fell back to the support level of 103-104, time to buy. When it reaches the resistance level of 106-108, it's time to reduce the position appropriately, while keeping the largest holding unchanged.
2. $Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM.US)$ Since IBM and other companies have announced plans to replace employees with AI in the future, AI is already showing promising future profit expectations. My perspective has also changed a bit, starting to focus on AI investments. No matter which company is into AI, the most essential player behind the scenes is Taiwan Semiconductor. Intel's technology is not up to par, and Samsung's geopolitical risks are too high. Once a conflict arises between China and the USA, it will certainly start from the Korean Peninsula, using the lackeys as cannon fodder. As long as China wins, the lackeys are highly likely to be annihilated. In the event of a Taiwan Strait conflict, the USA will have to gamble on the lackey number one (Japan) and number three (the Philippines), posing even greater risks for the United States.
3. $ChargePoint (CHPT.US)$ For electric vehicle expansion, it is bullish for charging infrastructure, this needs no further explanation.
4. Cash - money market fund. Many U.S. brokerages default to investing cash into money market funds, which distribute dividends monthly. The annualized ROI of holding cash has already exceeded 4.5%. With such a high risk-free return, why take the risk of gambling on any stocks? Just buy those that are certain to outperform 4.5% with a very low probability of losing money. As for brokerages, since no one is paying me a sponsorship fee, I will not make recommendations.
Regarding the large cap trend, it's currently very chaotic, and I am not sure either. In terms of the booming job market data, the market clearly interprets it as positive on Friday, but I remain cautious. At the moment, I dare not blindly go long or short, can only heavily hold positions in bonds, keep enough cash, and buy quality individual stocks. Let's wait and see how things develop while adapting to the situation.
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高贵的阿德莱德 OP : Forget to mention, as I mentioned before, if interest rate hikes end, even though interest rates are still high and the economy is very weak, US stocks are likely to have a good rebound. I'll take part of my position and participate. The real bottom of a bear market is when the Federal Reserve starts cutting interest rates to bail out the market. Simply put, the end of interest rate hikes is positive, and the beginning of interest rate cuts is bad.
缘起 : Apple will pull back and fall in the near future. The current situation is suitable for shorting. Are you doing long-term or short-term band operations?
102764470 : How much of a Tesla is right to start with
高贵的阿德莱德 OP 缘起 : Currently, I really don't dare to go short, especially giants like Apple and Microsoft. I think there is actually no long-term short-term investment in stocks; it is only active and passive (fixed investment). If it's active, Apple is currently not a good place to buy when it comes to Tesla, regardless of whether it lasts a long time or fry for a short time. If Apple and Tesla can go back to around 150, you can buy them for a long time or a short fry
imaginative Coyote_8 : Will not go back this year
高贵的阿德莱德 OP 102764470 : My plan: buy in batches around 150,130 this year. Sold in batches around 175 and 200. If the Federal Reserve maintains current interest rates until the end of the year, then next year may give everyone a chance to hit the bottom of around 110, or even below 100.
缘起 高贵的阿德莱德 OP : I agree with your strategy, but after the recent rise, there will definitely be a decline. The current situation is suitable for shorting. What are your views on the current situation?
高贵的阿德莱德 OP imaginative Coyote_8 : I'm also currently bullish on the stock market, but I don't dare to pursue it higher. Hopefully, the Fed will not cut interest rates before the end of the year to ensure that inflation is controlled. As long as the economy does not collapse, there is no need for the Fed to cut interest rates, and US stocks can still rise.
imaginative Coyote_8 高贵的阿德莱德 OP : I think supposed There's no way to cut interest rates. The US economy is so good, unless the number of unemployed people continues to increase,
高贵的阿德莱德 OP 缘起 : I have no opinion on the situation. It's so chaotic. There may be a pullback, but overall I'm still bullish. Be cautious about shorting, be aware of the risks, and calculate the profit and loss ratio before making a decision.
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