Strictly adhere to trading discipline.
Recently, the semiconductor industry is experiencing both prosperity and decline. Semiconductor companies that do not focus on AI feel like they are on the verge of bankruptcy, while those involved in AI have sky-high valuations.
For me, companies like [company name] that rely on hype for their rise in stock price, I am not inclined to give them a valuation because they simply don't align with the fundamentals. It's like a game of pass the parcel, anyone could end up being the last one holding the bag. If you want to avoid buying at high prices, you'll have to search through the bargain bin. $NVIDIA (NVDA.US)$ And $Advanced Micro Devices (AMD.US)$ This translation is too difficult. I apologize for the inconvenience.
$Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM.US)$ My current stop-loss is set at 83.7, which is a soft stop-loss. Even if it falls below during the trading day, I will wait until near the close. If it doesn't bounce back, then I will stop-loss, retaining some bottom positions. My cost is around 84.5, so the risk is not significant.
My other heavily-weighted stock, $ChargePoint (CHPT.US)$ Stop loss temporarily set at 8.40-8.45, it's a hard stop loss. No selling if it doesn't fall, but if it falls below, then I'll cut it all, because there are no dividends and no consideration for long-term holding.
Once the plan is established, it must be strictly followed. Mistakes may happen, but losses must be avoided.
Finally, a few words off topic:
About taiwan semiconductor, the company's prospects, technology, moat, and profitability are all very good, but the management does have very significant problems, leading to a very passive current situation. In short, there is no backbone, no integrity.
For example, if you want to use technological advantages to gain strong pricing power, you have to let customers bid for limited production capacity. The big taboo at this time: refuse any major customer for any reason other than price. I'm talking about Huawei. The only reason for rejecting Huawei can be a low quote. As long as Huawei pays, then supply must be provided.
The political pressure from the usa actually does not exist. The US government is particularly submissive, only bullying the weak and fearing the strong. Think about it, if the US government sanctions, then let them sanction. If taiwan semiconductor has backbone and integrity, if you sanction me, I'll accept your US sanction, effective immediately stop supplying on the day of sanctions. $Apple (AAPL.US)$ $NVIDIA (NVDA.US)$ $Qualcomm (QCOM.US)$ $Advanced Micro Devices (AMD.US)$ Wait for all American companies to supply all the chips. As soon as this statement is made, guarantee that the US government will immediately back down and dare not impose sanctions again.
As long as TSMC continues to supply Huawei, it has sufficient pricing power in front of Apple. If further, in the past two or three years, it has transferred all the old process industrial chains above 14nm to mainland China, then China's semiconductor industry will be completely controlled by TSMC, and the rise of SMIC today would not have happened.
Personally, I think TSMC has been completely hindered by Taiwan. Look at India, they profit from both the East and the West. Taiwan should learn more from the Indian government. But TSMC turned all the opportunities brought by the US-China competition into its own risks.
If TSMC goes bankrupt in 10-20 years, I won't be too surprised.
However, this does not affect the current short-term investment logic.
Disclaimer: Community is offered by Moomoo Technologies Inc. and is for educational purposes only.
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本人散户，闲钱投资，名字为系统生成。这里记录投资感悟与趣事。所有言论都纯属娱乐，不是投资建议。此账号为本人唯一社媒平台。
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mubbiiee : This one is a bit out of 2, hehe.
高贵的阿德莱德 OP mubbiiee : A young man miserably miserably miserable![[undefined]](https://static.moomoo.com/nnq/emoji/static/image/default/default-black.png?imageMogr2/thumbnail/36x36 "undefined")
It's impossible to happen anyway, so let's just write a novel. But looking at Taiwan makes me angry; can I be a bit backbone to be a human
高贵的阿德莱德 OP mubbiiee : However, leaving aside these secondary topics, the trend of TSM and CHPT is still good today; as soon as the support level is reached, they are immediately pulled up. It's just that trading volume hasn't gone up yet. If a positive emission line appears within the next few days, then this band is complete![[undefined]](https://static.moomoo.com/nnq/emoji/static/image/default/default-black.png?imageMogr2/thumbnail/36x36 "undefined")
71059681 高贵的阿德莱德 OP : I think it's probably not a backbone question, just like Japan and South Korea, and go directly to the sidelines. After all, India's left and right seem pretty good now, and I don't know if the future will be messed up
高贵的阿德莱德 OP 71059681 : Let's see if TSMC will be directly looted by the US within ten years
102764470 高贵的阿德莱德 OP : What do you think of Qualcomm. It keeps falling
Kiel890 102764470 : It's just a pullback. Nvidia's earnings report exploded after the market today
102764470 Kiel890 : Nvidia's earnings report revealed no change in Qualcomm
Kiel890 102764470 : Where did you start at Qualcomm?
102764470 102764470 : I just started it last night. $102
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