Debt ceiling sorted; What can happen next?
SPY - Keep an eye on QQQ! It will influence how SPY goes!
- Reached ~421 on Friday rally
- 2nd breakout above 416 in recent weeks
- Area of balance remains between 405 to 416
- False breakouts and back into 405/416 range will just mean a head fake
- 30mins chart see a possible inverse basing/cup
- Debt ceiling deal done (just) may give a last push rally on Tuesday?
- But "might" pullback after that
- But as usual, do not predict, watch price action. ==> So any pullbacks to 416 will be my key watch
My watch
- 416 as a support level for pullbacks - Can still be a bull flag formation
- Breaking back into 405/416 range will then watch for 414, 409, 405 levels
- Mainly 409 as that is the full formation of the inverse cup
=============================
- Reached ~421 on Friday rally
- 2nd breakout above 416 in recent weeks
- Area of balance remains between 405 to 416
- False breakouts and back into 405/416 range will just mean a head fake
- 30mins chart see a possible inverse basing/cup
- Debt ceiling deal done (just) may give a last push rally on Tuesday?
- But "might" pullback after that
- But as usual, do not predict, watch price action. ==> So any pullbacks to 416 will be my key watch
My watch
- 416 as a support level for pullbacks - Can still be a bull flag formation
- Breaking back into 405/416 range will then watch for 414, 409, 405 levels
- Mainly 409 as that is the full formation of the inverse cup
=============================
NASDAQ - Key one to watch as it will bring the market further up or down
- Bull flag plays has been consistent and is exactly at the peak (348/349)
- Big gap between 331 and 338
- Pullbacks will be 332 (gap fill) and down to 321 previous breakout)
Why this is important?
- Tech has been driving this market rally so far
- Any major pullback will mean an overall market correction
- This will also mean S&P500 will come down
My Watch
- Debt ceiling deal reached will bring some cheer (but rally unlikely to sustain)
- Buy on rumours and sell on news applies
- Bull flag plays has been consistent and is exactly at the peak (348/349)
- Big gap between 331 and 338
- Pullbacks will be 332 (gap fill) and down to 321 previous breakout)
Why this is important?
- Tech has been driving this market rally so far
- Any major pullback will mean an overall market correction
- This will also mean S&P500 will come down
My Watch
- Debt ceiling deal reached will bring some cheer (but rally unlikely to sustain)
- Buy on rumours and sell on news applies
Reminder - Observe, React, DO NOT predict!
![SPY Daily](https://sgsnsimg.moomoo.com/feed_image/101629496/f55ca8d1526d367c9899ab1261be390a.jpg/bigmoo)
![QQQ Daily](https://sgsnsimg.moomoo.com/feed_image/101629496/09eb50c11bf83817a6ec3cb6c128e2ef.jpg/bigmoo)
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Mr-Silk : Great breakdown! I see resistance much closer to 425.56 on SPY according to the FIB, still great analysis.
Asphen OP Mr-Silk : yup. 425 is v possible. up to even 430.![grinning 😀](https://static.moomoo.com/nnq/emoji/static/image/img-apple-64/1f600.png)
it is not bearish until it is.
Mr-Silk Asphen OP : Indeed! The rollercoaster ride begins on Tuesday. Hold tight!![chart_with_upwards_trend 📈](https://static.moomoo.com/nnq/emoji/static/image/img-apple-64/1f4c8.png)
![chart_with_downwards_trend 📉](https://static.moomoo.com/nnq/emoji/static/image/img-apple-64/1f4c9.png)
Asphen OP Mr-Silk : safety harness on!![wink 😉](https://static.moomoo.com/nnq/emoji/static/image/img-apple-64/1f609.png)