SPY - Keep an eye on QQQ! It will influence how SPY goes! - Reached ~421 on Friday rally - 2nd breakout above 416 in recent weeks - Area of balance remains between 405 to 416 - False breakouts and back into 405/416 range will just mean a head fake - 30mins chart see a possible inverse basing/cup - Debt ceiling deal done (just) may give a last push rally on Tuesday? - But "might" pullback after that - But as usual, do not predict, watch price action. ==> So any pullbacks to 416 will be my key watch My watch - 416 as a support level for pullbacks - Can still be a bull flag formation - Breaking back into 405/416 range will then watch for 414, 409, 405 levels - Mainly 409 as that is the full formation of the inverse cup =============================
NASDAQ - Key one to watch as it will bring the market further up or down - Bull flag plays has been consistent and is exactly at the peak (348/349) - Big gap between 331 and 338 - Pullbacks will be 332 (gap fill) and down to 321 previous breakout) Why this is important? - Tech has been driving this market rally so far - Any major pullback will mean an overall market correction - This will also mean S&P500 will come down My Watch - Debt ceiling deal reached will bring some cheer (but rally unlikely to sustain) - Buy on rumours and sell on news applies
Mr-Silk : Great breakdown! I see resistance much closer to 425.56 on SPY according to the FIB, still great analysis.
Asphen OP Mr-Silk : yup. 425 is v possible. up to even 430.
it is not bearish until it is.
Mr-Silk Asphen OP : Indeed! The rollercoaster ride begins on Tuesday. Hold tight!

Asphen OP Mr-Silk : safety harness on!