Small-cap stocks, starting an upward trend
A few days ago, I wrote in my post that there is a trend of improvement in market breadth, and this has been confirmed in the past two days. The characteristic is $Invesco Exchange Traded Fd Tr S&P 500 Equal Weight Etf (RSP.US)$ with $iShares Russell 2000 ETF (IWM.US)$ Volume continued to rise, breaking through resistance. Russell, in particular, performed extremely well.
Yes, the bull market is really coming. This year, the stock market can at least make another burst, maybe 4,500, or 4,800. As it turns out, the Fed didn't learn any lessons from the 1980 inflation; otherwise, it wouldn't be so dovish. Therefore, the US will first enter stagflation before going into recession. Therefore, the recession is likely to happen next year, or even the year after. If you profit from this wave of growth first, then discuss the recession at the end of the year, then you have time.
My largest position today $Alphabet-C (GOOG.US)$ The decline was a bit severe, but it didn't reach the stop loss; it just took back the profit, which made people a little uncomfortable. However, what is the current second-largest position $iShares Russell 2000 ETF (IWM.US)$ , really fragrant, hedged losses. It's also about diversifying investments to hedge risks. I bought iwm after breaking 180 on Friday, stepped back on Monday and pulled back my position at 180:00 on Monday. Let's see where iwm can go. $Tesla (TSLA.US)$ After adding 200 positions, this is currently my fourth position (the third is $Amazon (AMZN.US)$ (Today is also a bit miserable). Speaking of Tesla, the increase was a bit unexpected for me. However, after all, it has just broken through the declining channel for over a year, so it is reasonable to increase its strength.
Looking at the picture, iwm clearly broke through the upward trend in volume. Due to the closing of the moving average, a bullish arrangement has just begun to form. If there are no surprises, the upward trend will continue for a while. I think it will be at least 1-2 months, or even until the recession actually hits.
Judging from the decline in technology stocks, OTC capital still hasn't come in. Even though Russell 2000 had so many stocks, the total market wasn't that big. Judging from Big Tech's decline, I'm afraid there is still capital flowing out of the stock market. Is it the impact of government debt issuance? I'm going to look into this.
However, it's not important to look for the reason; you can find it slowly when you have time. Once the technical side has a signal, it must be operated first.
Finally, let me say one last thing to think carefully about:
The stock market has increased its position again $Occidental Petroleum (OXY.US)$![]()
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Why is it called a phobia?
Why did the last major inflation, in the 80s, soar to such a high level? Oil crisis!
What about this time? Anyway, at present, several major oil producers, Saudi Arabia, Iran, Russia, Venezuela, etc., do not seem to have a very good relationship with the US. The reconciliation between Saudi Arabia and Iran has given momentum. It must be used to stir up the US![]()
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No, Saudi Arabia has cut production again![]()
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Will the oil crisis come again, so did stock investors anticipate it?![]()
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However, in addition to oil, there may also be problems with food this time. Have your friends in the US noticed that in the early summer of this year, the US was extremely cold? Crops probably won't like this cold weather![]()
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Coupled with the continued soaring housing prices and rent, the tight labor market, unsuppressed demand, and the hawk-skinned Bao Laogoo, suppressing inflation is probably not that easy![]()
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本人散户，闲钱投资，名字为系统生成。这里记录投资感悟与趣事。所有言论都纯属娱乐，不是投资建议。此账号为本人唯一社媒平台。
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102764470 : Is Google going to drop
Mars83 : Is nvida about to drop?
忐忐忑忑忐忐忑忑 102764470 : It's been falling for the past two days, do you have a lot
102764470 忐忐忑忑忐忐忑忑 : 1000股
Tpjh 102764470 : How many hundred do I have, what's your average?
102764470 Tpjh : Just bought it
Tpjh 102764470 : Positions need to be distributed rationally to better reduce risk, how are positions
102764470 Tpjh : Probably 30%
Tpjh 102764470 : Add discussion, I am also quite optimistic about Google
高贵的阿德莱德 OP Tpjh : Risk control is actually not about positions, but rather stop-loss points. If the purchase price is 125 and the stop-loss point is 120, if you rule out the low-probability incident where the slump falls by more than ten points, the maximum loss of 5 yuan per share is 5 yuan, and the maximum loss of 1,000 shares is 5,000. If the target price is 150, then the potential profit is 25,000, and the profit to loss ratio is 5 to 1