TSLA
Tesla
-- 403.840 NVDA
NVIDIA
-- 134.290 PLTR
Palantir
-- 75.630 MSTR
MicroStrategy
-- 289.620 AMD
Advanced Micro Devices
-- 120.790 
Small cap stocks, starting to rise
A few days ago, I mentioned in a post that there is an improving trend in market breadth, and it has been confirmed in the past two days. The characteristic is the continuous volume increase and breakthrough of technology. Especially Russell, the performance is exceptionally outstanding. $Invesco Exchange Traded Fd Tr S&P 500 Equal Weight Etf (RSP.US)$ and $iShares Russell 2000 ETF (IWM.US)$ ...
Yes, the bull market is really coming. The stock market will at least have another surge this year, maybe reaching 4500, maybe even 4800. The fact has proven that the Federal Reserve did not learn any lessons from the high inflation in 1980, otherwise it wouldn't be so dovish. Therefore, the United States will enter stagflation first, and then recession. So the probability of recession is probably next year, or even the year after that. Let's make profits from this wave of rise first, and it's not too late to discuss recession at the end of the year.
Today is my largest position. $Alphabet-C (GOOG.US)$ The drop is a bit brutal, but it hasn't reached the stop loss. It's just giving back some profits, a bit unpleasant. However, my current second largest position is $iShares Russell 2000 ETF (IWM.US)$ , which is great, hedging the losses. It can be considered as investment diversification and risk hedging. I bought iwm after it broke through 180 on Friday, and went heavy when it pulled back to 180 on Monday. Let's see how far iwm can go. $Tesla (TSLA.US)$ After adding to my position at the 200 level, it is currently my fourth position (the third one is $Amazon (AMZN.US)$ , and it's also a bit miserable today). Talking about Tesla again, it's rising more than I expected. But after all, it just broke through the downtrend channel that lasted for more than a year, so it's reasonable to have a strong momentum.
Let's show it with a chart. iwm is obviously breaking through with high volume. Due to the convergence of moving averages, it has just started to form a bullish arrangement. Unless something unexpected happens, the upward trend will continue for some time. I think it will last for at least 1-2 months, or even until the economic recession really comes.
From the decline in technology stocks, it seems that there has not been an inflow of off-market funds. Although the Russell 2000 has so many stocks, the market capitalization is not that large. Judging from the decline in large technology stocks, there may still be an outflow of funds from the stock market. Could it be the impact of government bond issuance? I need to look into this.
However, finding the reason is not important. Take action as soon as there is a signal in the technical analysis.
Finally, let me tell you something extremely thought-provoking:
The stock god has increased positions again. $Occidental Petroleum (OXY.US)$![]()
![]()
![]()
![]()
![]()
![]()
![]()
![]()
![]()
![]()
Why do I say it is thought-provoking?
During the last big inflation in the 1980s, why did it soar so high? The oil crisis!
What about this time? Anyway, at present, the relationship between several major oil-producing countries, such as Saudi Arabia, Iran, Russia, and Venezuela, and the United States seems to be not good. Saudi Arabia and Iran are making peace and working together, which is definitely aimed at the United States.![]()
![]()
![]()
Look, this time Saudi Arabia has further reduced production.![]()
![]()
![]()
Will the oil crisis come back again, so did the stock god foresee it early?![]()
![]()
![]()
However, this time besides oil, there may also be issues with food. Have our friends in the USA noticed how unusually cold it was in the early summer this year? Crops may not like such cold weather.![]()
![]()
![]()
Coupled with the soaring house prices and rents, a tight labor market, unrelenting demand pressure, and the hawkish Babol Gugu, it may not be so easy to suppress inflation.![]()
![]()
![]()
Disclaimer: Community is offered by Moomoo Technologies Inc. and is for educational purposes only.
Read more
Comment
Sign in to post a comment
102764470 : Is Google going to drop
Mars83 : Is nvida about to drop?
忐忐忑忑忐忐忑忑 102764470 : It's been falling for the past two days, do you have a lot
102764470 忐忐忑忑忐忐忑忑 : 1000股
Tpjh 102764470 : How many hundred do I have, what's your average?
102764470 Tpjh : Just bought it
Tpjh 102764470 : We need to distribute positions rationally to better reduce risk. How about positions
102764470 Tpjh : Probably 30%
Tpjh 102764470 : Add discussion, I am also quite optimistic about Google
高贵的阿德莱德 OP Tpjh : Controlling risk is actually not mainly about positions, but rather stop-loss points. If the purchase price is 125 and the stop-loss point is 120, if the low-probability event of a sharp drop of more than ten points is excluded, each share will lose up to 5 yuan, and 1,000 shares will lose at most 5,000 yuan. If the target price is 150, then the potential profit is 25,000, and the profit to loss ratio is 5 to 1