sTone83
wrote a post · Jul 1, 2023 14:32
Analysis of clearing out, holding positions, and increasing positions of individual stocks (26/06-30/06).
Positions were closed out during Friday's trading session (I usually do this kind of operation at the end of the session, but this time due to early planning to sell, I chose to clear the positions at a technically high level in advance). $Direxion Daily Small Cap Bull 3X ETF (TNA.US)$ It's not that it didn't perform well, but some other reasons. I will talk about it when analyzing SMCI later. $iShares Russell 2000 ETF (IWM.US)$ For XXX, it has completed a strong rebound. Currently, it is too far from the 10EMA and needs a short-term adjustment. Looking for consolidation and upward movement in the future. Cleared the remaining positions from last week before the Friday closing. $Micron Technology (MU.US)$ When it breaks out of the base and is above the base support line, my expectations are high. However, its performance was poor, falling below the base support line at the close. I decisively sold following discipline. Trading should not involve emotional factors. The performance of stocks determines everything. Without significant prior profits accumulated, I have no reason to tolerate such performance. $Shift4 Payments (FOUR.US)$ After breaking below the 200EMA at the end of Monday's session, I followed the plan and chose to liquidate the final 1/3 of the position. In hindsight, this was a poor trade.But it taught me that in a situation where a stock's performance is poor from the initial buy point, it is likely to deteriorate further. A successful trade often starts with making a profit.Having strict requirements for the entry point is essential. Liquidated the final 1/3 before Monday's session close. $StoneCo (STNE.US)$ After breaking below the 21EMA at the close according to the trading plan, choosing to liquidate seems to require a longer period of adjustment, perhaps range-bound. With more high-quality stocks available, I will not continue to pay special attention to it for now. Entered near the 10EMA position in pre-market on Monday. $Tesla (TSLA.US)$ Due to breaking below the 10EMA at the end of the day, directly liquidating. Based on my personal research, when TSLA closes below the 10EMA after a strong upward trend in the past three years, it is highly probable to enter a range adjustment/continue to decline. I am not willing to go against this pattern. Although I have already liquidated, it is also possible for TSLA to break its own pattern because it is TSLA. However, I will not trade with such expectations.However, I will not trade with such expectations. thursday when $DraftKings (DKNG.US)$ After breaking through on a small platform, chose to buy quickly. The trading volume increased on Thursday. After Thursday and Friday, it did not show the expected strength of an uptrend, and moved further away from the 10EMA position, which may be due to the platform consolidation being too short and the structure not tight enough. Therefore, directly chose to liquidate at the end of Friday, without profit accumulation and potential time costs, I don't want to get too entangled here as the capital needs to go where it's needed more. $RxSight (RXST.US)$ On Thursday, completed a trade with increased volume and broke through a long and tight platform, starting from the 10EMA. This is a AAA-level setup breakthrough, the awkward part is that I didn't have any positions to add at that time.This is why I said earlier that the capital needs to go where it's needed... Currently, it is still one third of the previous position (3.92%). $MARA Holdings (MARA.US)$ I was the big winner in June, currently holding 2/3 of the original position (15.09%). With such a large profit accumulation, without touching my bottom line, I will give it enough room to fluctuate, allowing the winner to find its own operating mode. $SoFi Technologies (SOFI.US)$ Under the influence of negative news sentiment on Friday, there was severe volatility and selling. When it comes to news, I mostly think in a contrarian way, which makes me more inclined to continue holding. Moreover, the position and risk exposure are still within my manageable range, currently at 6.81%. I will continue to observe with 8.2 support as the bottom line. $e.l.f. Beauty (ELF.US)$ It is my little dragon, perhaps my initial stop-loss strategy was too tight. The intraday low was only a stop-loss of less than 3%, but I planned two positions in advance... Its current trend is still healthy, continuously breaking its historical highs, continuing to hold 1/2 of the original position (3.89%). Reduced 1/5 of the position before the closing on Friday. $Super Micro Computer (SMCI.US)$ It is not that its performance is poor, but rather some of my personal position risk management (single stock position not exceeding 25%). After reducing the position, I currently hold 20.36%. SMCI position was held for just one week, with profits exceeding 15%, which is the performance a leading dragon should have. 3X ETF $Direxion Daily Small Cap Bull 3X ETF (TNA.US)$ The strong rise this week is only 10%... showing the leading dragon's running ability.Moreover, there is no need to worry about losses. This is why I started to give up choosing 3X ETF in the uptrend. $Palantir (PLTR.US)$ The recent strong performance caught my attention. On Wednesday, when it completed a pullback and rose above the 10EMA, I chose to buy. Trading volume has been relatively low and stable in recent days. Before the close on Friday, I reduced the position by 1/4, aiming to reduce the risk exposure. The stop-loss point is the intraday low, with the remaining position at 18.78%. $Vita Coco (COCO.US)$ It is another small dragon that I recently discovered, it $Celsius Holdings (CELH.US)$ is the star of this industry, with performance growth rate + price trend positively correlated and very strong. Chose to enter after the volume dried up for two days following the pullback before the Friday close, with the stop-loss point being the lowest point of the pullback. Currently holding 8.23% positions. Starting this week, I will no longer release future stock picks. I am focusing on far too many aspects than before...
Finally, I will post the total settlement profit for June and the current position. Have a great weekend, everyone. "Attempting to buy under oversold conditions and sell under overbought conditions as a trading strategy carries risks. Ignoring strong directional trends will eventually result in buying sharply falling." -M.M
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JohnCS : nice writeup bro stone!! thanks for sharing your reason to buy and sell clearly too. learning a lot!
sTone83 OP JohnCS : Thank you brother for your reply. Not only can I show it to you, but I can also look back often in the future
嘟嘟0514 : Thanks for sharing!
icezzz : thanks for sharing