The UK is the country that continues rate hikes the most among major economies. In June, the policy interest rate was increased from 25bp to 50bp, but this increase is not enough. The latest combined inflation rate for May is 8.7%. The core rate is 7.1%. The policy interest rate is too low considering the persistent inflation. The market assumes a terminal rate of 6%, but even that is too low. It is inevitable to expect up to 7%. In the financial policy meeting on August 3rd, the UK might see a rate hike of 75bp instead of just 50bp. This would further strengthen the pound, and considering the future increase in fixed-rate housing loan rates linked to 2-year and 5-year fixed interest rates, a housing market crash seems unavoidable. Due to carrying inflation elements of the Brexit, the possibility of a hard landing seems high...