Position of technology weight.
Yesterday, with nothing to do, I heard that the Nasdaq is going to adjust its weightings. Out of curiosity, I roughly calculated the current position of the technology-weighted stock prices. Some brokerages may directly provide this number, but I calculated it myself. Using the lowest stock price since the bear market last year as 0% and the historical highest point as 100%, the higher the number, the closer the stock price is to the highest point:
It can be seen that although Tesla has experienced a big surge, the stock price is still much lower than its historical high. So it is reasonable for many people to continue to be bullish. As for me, I have already exited with profits, and I dare not bet on the financial report.
Google and Amazon are relatively inexpensive and have great potential for growth. As for whether to speculate on a soft landing and recovery next, or continue to speculate on AI, or the possibility of a recession, it's debatable. But both Google and Amazon are good symbols, suitable for buying on dips and holding for the long term. As for which one is better, I personally think Amazon is more sensitive to the real economy, while Google has better resistance to recession. In terms of AI, Google is still the leader, and in the foreseeable future, Google's monopoly position in search will not be shaken by Bing. I took profit and sold AMZN and other big tech stocks. I currently hold a small amount of GOOG, and I will add to my position if it continues to pull back.
As for Meta, because I don't use Facebook or Instagram, I don't know much about this company. I thought that Musk's purchase of Twitter would impact the fundamentals of Meta, but it now seems that Jack Dorsey's new product might actually shake the fundamentals of Twitter.![]()
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However, since Twitter has been delisted, it doesn't matter to us as shareholders. Whether Mr. Ma can make a comeback or not and whether we should fight or not, we can just watch and enjoy. But if any more incidents with Twitter cause a drop in Tesla's stock price, I think it's a buying opportunity.
As for my current holdings, I'm basically fully invested in long positions. However, my focus has shifted from big tech to real estate, medical, energy, and small cap stocks, as well as being long on the Japanese yen. As mentioned before, I hold a significant amount of the following:
$Zillow-C (Z.US)$ These past few days have been crazy with the rise in prices.
$Target (TGT.US)$ Finally, it has surpassed the EMA20.
$Home Depot (HD.US)$ Continuing to be bullish.
$Cheniere Energy (LNG.US)$ Also bullish.
$Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM.US)$ Looking forward to the recovery of the chip cycle.
Other holdings include $Qualcomm (QCOM.US)$ ， $The Health Care Select Sector SPDR® Fund (XLV.US)$ ， $Goldman Sachs (GS.US)$ $Intel (INTC.US)$ Even though these are currently experiencing friction at the bottom, once they break through, they will start an upward trend.
I bought [symbol] a couple of days ago. $Berkshire Hathaway-B (BRK.B.US)$ And $Lockheed Martin (LMT.US)$ I like peace and dislike weapons, but the world is getting closer to a larger scale war. Even if I don't buy, I can't prevent war.![]()
Belarus and Poland, Serbia and Kosovo, Israel and Palestine, North and South Korea, are all tinderboxes. Taiwan, on the other hand, won't have any problems because Chinese leaders have Shanghai DZH Limited and won't let certain clowns disrupt their plans.
Finally, be cautious about chasing highs these days. At first glance, today's CPI seems bullish, but in fact, it is bearish. It's just the high base effect, and inflation isn't really turning for the better. There is a high probability that next month's CPI will be a bombshell.
$iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT.US)$ There is an oversold rebound, but it has not yet escaped the bearish pattern on the daily and weekly charts. There is a possibility of dropping to 90 in the future. However, buying TLT around 100 and holding it steady until the rate cut, will only profit and not lose. The U.S. economy will not sustain long-term growth under high interest rates. The longer the high interest rates are maintained, the more intense the recession will be. I consider the Fed slowing down the pace of interest rate hikes as a serious mistake, which will only make inflation stubborn and delay the rate cut. So, this major storm will only get bigger and eventually burst.
Disclaimer: Community is offered by Moomoo Technologies Inc. and is for educational purposes only.
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本人散户，闲钱投资，名字为系统生成。这里记录投资感悟与趣事。所有言论都纯属娱乐，不是投资建议。此账号为本人唯一社媒平台。
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decisive Beaver_4398 : Very nice write up. I never fail to learn from your post and your thinking process however I entered LMT and RTX too early at a high price . I am looking at some of the stocks you mention too . Thanks sharing ..
高贵的阿德莱德 OP decisive Beaver_4398 : Although the stock prices of RTX and LMT are at historically high levels, they have been trading sideways for a long time. In the so-called exchange of time for space, the company has been developing for a year, yet the stock price has not increased much, so it has become cheaper
mubbiiee : Let's expand and talk about why the CPI looks good, but it's actually unfavorable? I think at least it looks really good; I haven't found any disadvantages.