The positions of the 11 major sectors
Today, let's write about the positions of the 11 major sectors, using the corresponding SPDR sector ETF as an example. 0% represents the lowest point in a bear market, and 100% represents the highest point (for ETFs like XLK that recently hit new highs, 100% represents the recent high point).
Technology 99%. $The Technology Select Sector SPDR® Fund (XLK.US)$
Industry 97%. $Industrial Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLI.US)$
Raw materials 74%. $Materials Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLB.US)$
Essentials 67%. $Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLP.US)$
Energy 63%. $Energy Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLE.US)$
Medical 61%. $The Health Care Select Sector SPDR® Fund (XLV.US)$
Non-essentials 58%. $Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLY.US)$
Communication 55%. $The Communication Services Select Sector SPDR® Fund (XLC.US)$
Financial 48% $Financial Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLF.US)$
Public facilities 42% $Utilities Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLU.US)$
Real estate 36% $Real Estate Select Sector Spdr Fund (The) (XLRE.US)$
Technology leads without a doubt. The industrial sector ranks second. Surprising, isn't it? It can't do without the expectation of a soft landing and the strong performance of the Dow. But chasing after high prices at this time always feels like being a fool.
Looking at the mid-market segment, the energy sector is pessimistic and not worth the risk of investing. Essential goods are mainly used for hedging, usually underperforming the overall market in a bull market. Communication still relies on weighted stocks in this sector, while others are at the bottom rubbing against each other. On a side note, compared to $Meta Platforms (META.US)$ 's high position, $AT&T (T.US)$ and $Verizon (VZ.US)$ These days have all fallen to the bottom, I think this is a big thunderstorm in the future of the USA, very ridiculous, let's talk about it when there is time.
Not only can it resist recession, but it can also develop rapidly. It's not expensive at the moment. I am most bullish on it. $The Health Care Select Sector SPDR® Fund (XLV.US)$
Finally, let's talk about a few at the bottom. The thunder of bank bankruptcy and commercial property has been pressing down on XLF and XLRE. Although they are very cheap, timid capital still won't come. I don't really understand XLU either, but public utilities are defensive. Maybe it's because the industry's leverage is a bit high, so it's under pressure in high-interest-rate environments. It's not good to raise prices under high inflation, otherwise the government will face public anger. By the way, in the utility bills every month, fixed expenses have already accounted for the vast majority, which is really annoying.
$Lockheed Martin (LMT.US)$ Yesterday, it rose on heavy volume, with earnings exceeding expectations and raising guidance. Let's see how the market reacts today.
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高贵的阿德莱德 OP : LMT can also fall. It's amazing, but it didn't reach a stop loss, so I just held it first. There won't be any major problems with the current price. If I hadn't already taken a heavy position, I'd consider adding a few