As for the recession, I think it's next year; I still can't see it. The longer it drags on, the more serious the problem becomes, and the worse the recession becomes. An early recession is needed to cut interest rates early. If the US currently consumes so much interest rates, if it doesn't exhaust the Chinese economy, then it will exhaust itself. Government deficits, commercial real estate, corporate financing... it's better to have lower interest rates
rich zhu : Don't scare yourself,Is the gap important450Japanese support is important?unbreakable450Talk about how to fill the gap in the daily EMA?
Silverbat : “Serious divergence between stock prices and fundamentals”, are you referring to AMD or NVDA, NIO, XPEV,...? According to the current EPS and Q2 expectations and expectations, Tesla is extremely understated
高贵的阿德莱德 OP Silverbat : I am referring to the divergence between US stocks as a whole and the US economy. Judging from the data, it seems that the US GDP is still growing rapidly; in reality, there are huge hidden dangers. Middle-aged and elderly people with savings are still eating, drinking, and playing, which supports the economy. However, young people are miserable, especially young white-collar workers who have just graduated from undergraduate studies. After student loans are repaid, they are basically unable to get the hang of it. Sooner or later, this thunder will explode.
高贵的阿德莱德 OP Silverbat : As for Tesla, there is still plenty of room for the stock price to rise from its all-time high, so I'm also optimistic about Tesla's development. However, if there is an overall pullback in US stocks, it will be difficult for the weighted stocks not to fall. I think Tesla will be under pressure in the short term. If they want to buy it, prudent investors need to wait to fill the gap before talking about it. Or if it continues to fall, we'll see if the decline can stop around 220. I'm still bullish this year, but I don't think it will hit a new high like Apple. As for next year, it's hard to say. It may continue to rise or it may plummet, depending on the extent of the economic recession
Silverbat 高贵的阿德莱德 OP : What you think is also what most people worry about. For medium- to long-term investments, there is no need for leverage, no options, no financing, dissatisfaction with positions, buying a little bit every low, and the chances of making money are very high. I wish you the best of luck and have a great weekend.
高贵的阿德莱德 OP Silverbat : I also agree with the trend of US stock market leaders. My opinion is also really about the short term. Thank you for sharing your views and I wish you the best of luck