The strength of the dollar resurges, posing challenges in the growing global foreign exchange market = GS.
●Goldman Sachs predicts that the dollar will recover 'stronger and more sustainable' by 2025. This prediction is based on the resilience of the US economy, the attractiveness of capital flows, and the potential revival of tariff policies by Trump.
The company asserts that if the Trump administration's tariff policies are reinstated, there is a high likelihood that it will be implemented more swiftly and directly. This would further enhance the competitiveness of the dollar and act as a factor in curbing the performance of other major currencies.
In an environment of a strong dollar, major currencies such as the Euro, Yen, and Pound are expected to face downward pressure. The Euro may even fall below parity (1 dollar = 1 Euro).
Goldman remains bullish on the dollar, but also points out the downside risks to the dollar if the global economic recovery exceeds expectations, trade policy uncertainties diminish, and the Federal Reserve (FRB) continues to cut interest rates.
Furthermore, Goldman emphasizes that despite the strong position of the dollar, there remains uncertainty in the market's attitude towards tariff policies, highlighting the possibility of other currencies rebounding in the short term.