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Buffett's latest watchlist includes two stocks! What is the secret of value investing? Check the performance trend and stock price level.

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ビットバレー投資家 wrote a column · Aug 16 04:54
Buffett's latest "favorite stocks" have been revealed.
Led by renowned investor Warren Buffett, $Berkshire Hathaway-B (BRK.B.US)$ disclosed its holdings in the 13F report. According to the report, there were two new positions acquired in the April-June 2024 quarter, and five positions were added. On the other hand, $Apple (AAPL.US)$ reduced positions for eight stocks, led by $Paramount Global-B (PARA.US)$ And $Snowflake (SNOW.US)$ I sold all the shares of the two stocks I owned.
This time,Focus on the two stocks newly acquired by Mr. Buffett.Check the performance trends and stock price levels of each. What can be seen from there isthe essence of Buffett-style investmentit might be
Buffett's latest portfolio:Sector Classification
Looking at the holdings of Berkshire Hathaway as of the end of June 2024, the top sector isInformation Technology(with a ratio of 35.2%), followed byFinancial(32.8%),Necessities of life(13.7%),Energy(12.4%) along with energy.
Most of the information technology is by Apple stock. Buffett sold about half of his Apple shares in April-June.However, it remains the top hold position based on market capitalization. The sale of Apple shares is also reflected in the sector's growth and decline rate.For example, compared to the portfolio at the end of March, information technology decreased by 10%. Conversely, financials increased by 6%, and consumer staples and energy each increased by 2%. The stocks Buffett newly acquired belong to these sectors.
Buffett's latest watchlist includes two stocks! What is the secret of value investing? Check the performance trend and stock price level.
Buffett's 'latest portfolio': Individual stock edition
The top 10 holdings in Berkshire Hathaway's portfolio as of the end of June 2024 are as follows.
Buffett's latest watchlist includes two stocks! What is the secret of value investing? Check the performance trend and stock price level.
Apple continues to hold the top position, followed by $Bank of America (BAC.US)$ $American Express (AXP.US)$ $Coca-Cola (KO.US)$ $Chevron (CVX.US)$ The familiar 'Buffett stocks' such as etc are lined up. Among them, the stocks held in the 4th to 6th months were sold.The stocks that were sold are Apple and Chevron.The stocks that were sold are Apple and Chevron.The stocks that were sold are Apple and Chevron..Bank of AmericaAlthough the number of holdings does not change as of the end of June, Mr. Buffett sold a large amount of shares of the company in July. According to a Bloomberg article, he reduced his stake by 8.8%. On the other hand, the two stocks that were bought between April and June are.The two stocks that Mr. Buffett increased his holdings in between April and June are.The two stocks are $Occidental Petroleum (OXY.US)$ and $Chubb Ltd (CB.US)$ and
Buffett's latest "watchlist" stocks are
Mr. Buffett's "watchlist" stocks between April and June areNewly acquiredThe acquired stocks are from the beauty retail and $Ulta Beauty (ULTA.US)$ aircraft equipment $Heico (HEI.US)$ . The additional acquisitions include 5 stocks, but the stocks accounting for more than 2% of the portfolio are Occidental Petroleum, a major oil and gas company, and Chubb, a major insurance company.
Buffett's latest watchlist includes two stocks! What is the secret of value investing? Check the performance trend and stock price level.
The stocks sold for your reference are as follows. Companies facing financial difficulties such as $Paramount Global-B (PARA.US)$ and those acquired at the time of IPO, $Snowflake (SNOW.US)$ have been completely sold.Complete saleBoth stocks didn't perform well after Buffett acquired them, and he eventually decided to sell them. In that sense, it may not be certain that buying stocks with Buffett's reputation will always lead to a rise in the medium term. After Buffett's purchase, it is important to pay attention to the subsequent trends and fundamentals of the companies, including their performance.
Buffett's latest watchlist includes two stocks! What is the secret of value investing? Check the performance trend and stock price level.
Newly acquired beauty retailers:
$Ulta Beauty (ULTA.US)$
Company Overview
A cosmetic retail chain in the US. They offer a wide range of beauty products across various price ranges. They have both physical stores and online channels. They have strengthened their 'store-in-store' strategy by partnering with large discount superstores like Target. The number of stores within Target superstores is 510. They also focus on e-commerce, with e-commerce sales accounting for 20% of their revenue. E-commerce is growing at a faster pace than physical stores, and this trend is expected to continue.
Performance Trends
The company, which has steady earnings growth and a strong market share, has consistently surpassed market expectations. However, the company announced during their earnings report in April this year that they expect growth to slow down, which came as a negative surprise.
The management commented that "growth in this field is slightly slower than expected due to various events happening in consumers' lives."Annual growth rateoutlookAboutEstimated at 2% to 3%This level is significantly below the previous targetof 4% to 5%As a result, the stock price has sharply declined since April.(Note: JSR, excluding the chemical sector constituents of the Nikkei Semiconductor Stock Index (in weight order). Operating profit growth rate forecast, recent dividend yield, and analyst target stock price for Nippon Chemicals are based on Bloomberg data.)(price-to-earnings ratio) is also14 timesIt has decreased to a level of 5 years average of26 timesor the average of the past 10 years, which is30 timessignificantly lower than
Buffett's latest watchlist includes two stocks! What is the secret of value investing? Check the performance trend and stock price level.
It was exactly when Warren Buffett acquired the company's shares for the first time, during a period of sharp decline in stock prices due to a negative surprise. As of the end of June, the percentage of Berkshire Hathaway's portfolio accounted for 0.1%, so it does not seem to be a significant "bet" at the moment. However, it can be said that buying opportunities based on the "Buffett investment method" were taken advantage of, considering the "short-term" (※) performance decline outlook and stock price decline of companies that have secured a certain position in the industry.
(※ It is not certain whether the performance decline will remain short-term, and it is necessary to pay attention to the future performance trends.)
Newly acquired aircraft equipment manufacturer:
$Heico (HEI.US)$
Company overview
Aircraft equipment manufacturer. It is also a defense-related stock. It also has a wide range of aftermarket products that meet the needs of repairing and overhauling aerospace components. It has two divisions, the Flight Support Group (FSG) and the Electronic Technology Group (ETG), which designs and manufactures replacement parts for jet engines and aircraft components. Customers include airlines, aircraft engine manufacturers, defense industries, military organizations, as well as the U.S. Air Force, Navy, and NASA.
Performance trends
Since fiscal year 2021, the performance has been expanding. In the 2nd quarter of fiscal year 2024 (April-June), both consolidated net sales and net profit recorded their highest ever on a quarterly basis. The increase in net sales reflects the impact of acquisitions in fiscal years 2023 and 2024, as well as a robust organic growth of 12%. The company expects an increase in net sales in both FSG and ETG for the remaining period of fiscal year 2024. The contribution from acquisitions and strong demand for most products is expected to continue.
At the earnings call at the end of May, the management commented that the business environment is favorable. They explained that this is a good situation for the company, as there is a combination of aging of aircraft, demand for air travel worldwide, and inventory reduction. They also indicated that fiscal year 2025 is expected to see a strong resurgence in special products such as defense products. They revealed that the backlog of defense-related businesses has reached its highest ever. They expect continued stable performance expansion in the future.Outlook for continued performance expansion.
Buffett's latest watchlist includes two stocks! What is the secret of value investing? Check the performance trend and stock price level.
During the period from April to June this year, when Mr. Buffett newly acquired shares of the company, the company's shares were performing well. It may seem like a completely different investment decision from Alta Beauty, which took the opportunity of a sharp drop in stock prices. However, while Heico's stock price continued to rise, the business outlook had become even brighter. In addition, at the current time, Heico's PE ratio is 52 times, which is the average PE ratio for the past 5 years is 59 times, and the average PE ratio for the past 10 years is(Note: JSR, excluding the chemical sector constituents of the Nikkei Semiconductor Stock Index (in weight order). Operating profit growth rate forecast, recent dividend yield, and analyst target stock price for Nippon Chemicals are based on Bloomberg data.)approximately52 timesPER of 59 timesthe average PER for the past 5 years is 59 timesthe average PER for the past 10 years is49Compared to that, there is not much of a sense of undervaluation, but it is not expensive either. Buying a company with a stable business expansion at a 'reasonable' price can be considered as one pattern of 'value investing'.
August 16, 2024 Market Analyst Amelia
Source: Company documents and Bloomberg, compiled by moomoo Securities
Disclaimer: Moomoo Technologies Inc. is providing this content for information and educational use only. Read more
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