TSLA
Tesla
-- 431.660 RGTI
Rigetti Computing
-- 17.0800 NVDA
NVIDIA
-- 137.010 LAES
SEALSQ Corp
-- 9.080 PLTR
Palantir
-- 79.080 Is this year's Santa Rally stronger than usual? In 2024, there are 4 stocks that are expected to surpass NVIDIA.
Good morning, MOOMOO users!![]()
The key points of this morning's report are here.![]()
● [Tokyo Stock Market Expected Range] ¥8,900 - ¥9,300 (closing price on the 25th: ¥9,130.43)
● Is this year's Santa Rally stronger than usual?
● In 2024, there are 4 stocks aiming to surpass NVIDIA.
● Today's yen exchange rate outlook: The dollar-yen is mainly moving around the 157 yen level.
● Kobayashi Pharmaceutical: Oasis Management increases shareholding from 7.54% to 10.10%.
● Stocks that were bought the previous day! Total scenario includes Zalai, Nissan, F Tech, Toyota, and more.
MOOMOO News Julie
● Is this year's Santa Rally stronger than usual?
● In 2024, there are 4 stocks aiming to surpass NVIDIA.
● Today's yen exchange rate outlook: The dollar-yen is mainly moving around the 157 yen level.
● Kobayashi Pharmaceutical: Oasis Management increases shareholding from 7.54% to 10.10%.
● Stocks that were bought the previous day! Total scenario includes Zalai, Nissan, F Tech, Toyota, and more.
MOOMOO News Julie
Market Overview
◇On the 25th, the US market was closed for 'Christmas'. In the morning of the 26th, the USD/JPY was in the upper 157 yen range.
◇On the 26th, in the Tokyo stock market, amidst conflicting views of strength and weakness, the Nikkei average stock price is expected to show a narrow range near the previous day's closing price.
◇On the 25th, the US market was closed for 'Christmas'. In the morning of the 26th, the USD/JPY was in the upper 157 yen range.
◇On the 26th, in the Tokyo stock market, amidst conflicting views of strength and weakness, the Nikkei average stock price is expected to show a narrow range near the previous day's closing price.
Top News
Is this year's Santa rally stronger than usual?
◇While the USA market was closed on Christmas Day, the S&P500 index rose by 1.1% on the shortened trading day on the 24th. Over the past 5 years, the fluctuation rate on the day before the Christmas holiday has been around -0.2% to +0.6%, indicating the possibility of a stronger 'Santa rally' this year than usual.
◇When checking the rate of increase or decrease on the trading day after Christmas, it is found that except for the year 2022, it has been increasing over the past 5 years, with an increase rate ranging from 0.4% to 1.4%. However, 2022 was the only year in the past 5 years where the annual performance was negative (S&P 500 index dropped by 20%). This year, the S&P 500 index has already risen by about 27%, so following the anomaly of the years with increases, the probability of the trading day after Christmas this year rising seems high.
Is this year's Santa rally stronger than usual?
◇While the USA market was closed on Christmas Day, the S&P500 index rose by 1.1% on the shortened trading day on the 24th. Over the past 5 years, the fluctuation rate on the day before the Christmas holiday has been around -0.2% to +0.6%, indicating the possibility of a stronger 'Santa rally' this year than usual.
◇When checking the rate of increase or decrease on the trading day after Christmas, it is found that except for the year 2022, it has been increasing over the past 5 years, with an increase rate ranging from 0.4% to 1.4%. However, 2022 was the only year in the past 5 years where the annual performance was negative (S&P 500 index dropped by 20%). This year, the S&P 500 index has already risen by about 27%, so following the anomaly of the years with increases, the probability of the trading day after Christmas this year rising seems high.
In 2024, there are 4 stocks that have surpassed NVIDIA.
◇With only a few days left in 2024, let's check the performance of the constituents of the S&P 500 Index and the Nasdaq 100 Index until December 24th, with four stocks surpassing the most benefited stock in the AI boom with a growth rate of 183.2%. $NVIDIA (NVDA.US)$ There were 4 stocks that exceeded the increase rate of 183.2%.
◇Specifically, the software company $Applovin (APP.US)$ (757.8% increase), and the companies actively investing in Bitcoin $MicroStrategy (MSTR.US)$ (467.1% increase), and the software giant $Palantir (PLTR.US)$ (an increase of 379.9%), and electrical utility companies' $Vistra Energy (VST.US)$ (an increase of 272%) respectively.
◇Excluding MicroStrategy, Envidia is also an AI-related stock. The increase in demand for AI software and the expansion of electricity demand due to the construction rush of AI data centers have pushed up the stock prices of these companies. Other stocks that made it to the top 10 in terms of growth rate are, $GE Vernova (GEV.US)$ 、 $United Airlines (UAL.US)$ 、 $Axon Enterprise (AXON.US)$ 、 $Broadcom (AVGO.US)$ 、 $Constellation Energy (CEG.US)$ 、 $Marvell Technology (MRVL.US)$ etc., AI-related stocks stood out.
◇In 2024, the AI boom is spreading from semiconductors to software, electrical utilities, and so on. Considering that the boom in AI equipment investment has been continuing for 2 years, there is a possibility that the "spread" will further advance in 2025.
◇With only a few days left in 2024, let's check the performance of the constituents of the S&P 500 Index and the Nasdaq 100 Index until December 24th, with four stocks surpassing the most benefited stock in the AI boom with a growth rate of 183.2%. $NVIDIA (NVDA.US)$ There were 4 stocks that exceeded the increase rate of 183.2%.
◇Specifically, the software company $Applovin (APP.US)$ (757.8% increase), and the companies actively investing in Bitcoin $MicroStrategy (MSTR.US)$ (467.1% increase), and the software giant $Palantir (PLTR.US)$ (an increase of 379.9%), and electrical utility companies' $Vistra Energy (VST.US)$ (an increase of 272%) respectively.
◇Excluding MicroStrategy, Envidia is also an AI-related stock. The increase in demand for AI software and the expansion of electricity demand due to the construction rush of AI data centers have pushed up the stock prices of these companies. Other stocks that made it to the top 10 in terms of growth rate are, $GE Vernova (GEV.US)$ 、 $United Airlines (UAL.US)$ 、 $Axon Enterprise (AXON.US)$ 、 $Broadcom (AVGO.US)$ 、 $Constellation Energy (CEG.US)$ 、 $Marvell Technology (MRVL.US)$ etc., AI-related stocks stood out.
◇In 2024, the AI boom is spreading from semiconductors to software, electrical utilities, and so on. Considering that the boom in AI equipment investment has been continuing for 2 years, there is a possibility that the "spread" will further advance in 2025.
Today's yen exchange rate outlook: The dollar-yen is mainly moving around 157 yen, with the possibility of the dollar maintaining a firm movement while being aware of the interest rate spread between Japan and the U.S.
On the 25th, the dollar-yen rate fell to 156.99 yen in the Tokyo market before rebounding to 157.37 yen. In the European and American markets, it rebounded from 157.11 yen to 157.35 yen, closing at 157.28 yen. Today, the 26th, the dollar-yen rate mainly hovers in the 157 yen range. The dollar may maintain a firm movement considering the interest rate differentials between Japan and the United States.
Stocks Bought Yesterday! Exciting Stocks Leading to Today? Japanese Stocks
■ $Nissan Motor (7201.JP)$ 518.3円 (+41.3円、+8.7％)
3日続急伸。23日に $Honda Motor (7267.JP)$ との共同持ち株会社の設立による経営統合に向けた検討に関して基本合意書を締結したと発表した。発表自体はほぼ事前の報道に沿ったものではあったが、日産自については11月に旧村上ファンド系のエフィッシモ・キャピタル・マネージメントの運用ファンドが大株主となったことが判明。香港のオアシス・マネジメントによる保有観測も出ている。需給面での思惑がくすぶるなかにあって、日産自株は日証金ベースで貸株残高が大きく積み上がっており、売り長の状況にある。断続的なショートカバーが株価水準の押し上げに寄与したとみられている。
On the 25th, the dollar-yen rate fell to 156.99 yen in the Tokyo market before rebounding to 157.37 yen. In the European and American markets, it rebounded from 157.11 yen to 157.35 yen, closing at 157.28 yen. Today, the 26th, the dollar-yen rate mainly hovers in the 157 yen range. The dollar may maintain a firm movement considering the interest rate differentials between Japan and the United States.
Stocks Bought Yesterday! Exciting Stocks Leading to Today? Japanese Stocks
■ $Nissan Motor (7201.JP)$ 518.3円 (+41.3円、+8.7％)
3日続急伸。23日に $Honda Motor (7267.JP)$ との共同持ち株会社の設立による経営統合に向けた検討に関して基本合意書を締結したと発表した。発表自体はほぼ事前の報道に沿ったものではあったが、日産自については11月に旧村上ファンド系のエフィッシモ・キャピタル・マネージメントの運用ファンドが大株主となったことが判明。香港のオアシス・マネジメントによる保有観測も出ている。需給面での思惑がくすぶるなかにあって、日産自株は日証金ベースで貸株残高が大きく積み上がっており、売り長の状況にある。断続的なショートカバーが株価水準の押し上げに寄与したとみられている。
■ $F-TECH (7212.JP)$ 595円 (+65円、+12.3％)
A Honda-affiliated auto parts company specializing in chassis parts such as suspensions and subframes, with outstanding performance. The operating profit, which represents the main business's profit, achieved a significant increase of around 80% in the fiscal years ending March 2023 and March 2024, and expects a 27% increase over the previous year for the fiscal year ending March 2025. The annual dividend is planned at ¥20, with a high expected dividend yield of around 3.5%. Noteworthy ispbabout 0.2 times the dissolution value and one-fifth of the company's main shareholder $Honda Motor (7267.JP)$ announced that $Nissan Motor (7201.JP)$ Moves towards the managerial integration with Amid a mix of industry restructuring and corporate acquisitions, expectations have arisen involving group companies, and despite irregular performance changes, Efftech, which has been left in an irregularly super-undervalued zone, has emerged as a target for reassessment purchases.
A Honda-affiliated auto parts company specializing in chassis parts such as suspensions and subframes, with outstanding performance. The operating profit, which represents the main business's profit, achieved a significant increase of around 80% in the fiscal years ending March 2023 and March 2024, and expects a 27% increase over the previous year for the fiscal year ending March 2025. The annual dividend is planned at ¥20, with a high expected dividend yield of around 3.5%. Noteworthy ispbabout 0.2 times the dissolution value and one-fifth of the company's main shareholder $Honda Motor (7267.JP)$ announced that $Nissan Motor (7201.JP)$ Moves towards the managerial integration with Amid a mix of industry restructuring and corporate acquisitions, expectations have arisen involving group companies, and despite irregular performance changes, Efftech, which has been left in an irregularly super-undervalued zone, has emerged as a target for reassessment purchases.
■ $Toyota Motor (7203.JP)$ 2,964.5 yen (+129.5 yen, +4.6%)
Significant rebound. According to the Nikkei electronic version on the 25th, Toyota Motor raised its target self-capital profit rate (ROE) to double to 20%, which seems to have attracted buying from large institutional investors. According to reports, Toyota, which had a market expectation of 11% for ROE in the fiscal year ending March 2025, had not set a specific target, but through innovation in its business model to actively return to shareholders, aims to enhance market evaluation. It is said to become a top-class ROE among the world's car manufacturers.
Kobayashi Seiyaku Oasis Management increased from 7.54% to 10.10%
According to EDINET, Oasis Management Company Limited's $Kobayashi Pharmaceutical (4967.JP)$ The shareholding ratio increased from 7.54% to 10.10%.
Significant rebound. According to the Nikkei electronic version on the 25th, Toyota Motor raised its target self-capital profit rate (ROE) to double to 20%, which seems to have attracted buying from large institutional investors. According to reports, Toyota, which had a market expectation of 11% for ROE in the fiscal year ending March 2025, had not set a specific target, but through innovation in its business model to actively return to shareholders, aims to enhance market evaluation. It is said to become a top-class ROE among the world's car manufacturers.
Kobayashi Seiyaku Oasis Management increased from 7.54% to 10.10%
According to EDINET, Oasis Management Company Limited's $Kobayashi Pharmaceutical (4967.JP)$ The shareholding ratio increased from 7.54% to 10.10%.
Foreign exchange
Main Market Events
December 26 (Thursday)
Auspicious Day: 24.9 months old
"8 wins, 2 losses" (Yin-Yang Star pick of the past 10 years' Nikkei average)
【Domestic】
Status of weekly foreign and domestic securities transactions (8:50)
November construction machinery shipments (13:00)
November housing starts (14:00)
2-year government bond auction
[Domestic Companies]
★ Forcia <304A> : Listed on the Tokyo Stock Exchange
★ Visumo <303A> : Listed on the Tokyo Stock Exchange
★GVA TECH <298A>: Listed on the Tokyo Stock Exchange
○Togane Holdings <2754> [Tokyo Stock Exchange]: Listing canceled
○Uematsu Shokai <9914> [Tokyo Stock Exchange]: Listed on the Nagoya Stock Exchange (Duplicate listing)
Overseas
★Hong Kong, Canada, UK, Germany, France, Norway, Australia, New Zealand, Indonesia, South Africa (Boxing Day)/Italy, Switzerland (St. Stephen's Day) markets closed
□Initial jobless claims in the United States(22:30)
USA Petroleum Inventory Statistics (as of 27th, 1:00)
Turkish Central Bank announcing policy rate
USA 7-Year Treasury Note Auction
December 26 (Thursday)
Auspicious Day: 24.9 months old
"8 wins, 2 losses" (Yin-Yang Star pick of the past 10 years' Nikkei average)
【Domestic】
Status of weekly foreign and domestic securities transactions (8:50)
November construction machinery shipments (13:00)
November housing starts (14:00)
2-year government bond auction
[Domestic Companies]
★ Forcia <304A> : Listed on the Tokyo Stock Exchange
★ Visumo <303A> : Listed on the Tokyo Stock Exchange
★GVA TECH <298A>: Listed on the Tokyo Stock Exchange
○Togane Holdings <2754> [Tokyo Stock Exchange]: Listing canceled
○Uematsu Shokai <9914> [Tokyo Stock Exchange]: Listed on the Nagoya Stock Exchange (Duplicate listing)
Overseas
★Hong Kong, Canada, UK, Germany, France, Norway, Australia, New Zealand, Indonesia, South Africa (Boxing Day)/Italy, Switzerland (St. Stephen's Day) markets closed
□Initial jobless claims in the United States(22:30)
USA Petroleum Inventory Statistics (as of 27th, 1:00)
Turkish Central Bank announcing policy rate
USA 7-Year Treasury Note Auction
Source: Dow Jones, MINKABU, Trader's Web, Fisco
Disclaimer: Moomoo Technologies Inc. is providing this content for information and educational use only.
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