September 23, 2024, Satellite MtD ± 0.0%
As for FOMC, contrary to initial expectations, there was a 0.5% interest rate cut. I think there are three patterns for this 0.5% cut.
① Preventive rate cut
Inflation is stabilizing and a rate cut before a recession
② Focus on interest rate cuts only for inflation rate.
I don't understand the economy well, but since inflation is under control, I think there will be an interest rate cut.
③ Interest rate cut in response to recession.
Since the FRB recognizes the recession, there will be an emergency interest rate cut.
However, based on the comments from the FOMC, we will go along with the FRB and I bought VTI. The satellite PF is as follows:
① Preventive rate cut
Inflation is stabilizing and a rate cut before a recession
② Focus on interest rate cuts only for inflation rate.
I don't understand the economy well, but since inflation is under control, I think there will be an interest rate cut.
③ Interest rate cut in response to recession.
Since the FRB recognizes the recession, there will be an emergency interest rate cut.
However, based on the comments from the FOMC, we will go along with the FRB and I bought VTI. The satellite PF is as follows:
I sold half of VGSH and bought VTI. As for TLT, I think there is a possibility of long-term interest rates rising if the economy improves in the future, so I put a 5% trailing stop on half of TLT. I also considered QQQM instead of VTI, but I felt that tech stocks have already risen in the AI market, so I went with VTI as a safe choice. I'm still afraid of a recession, but I feel like I'm taking a risk here.
For sector ETFs, I sold the largest XLRE last week and bought XLE.
For sector ETFs, I sold the largest XLRE last week and bought XLE.
After the recession concerns receded, the URA of uranium-related ETFs has been rising. Since the percentage of sector ETFs themselves has been increasing, this week I only have a sell order for XLY.
For tech stocks, I have set trailing stops at 20% for ARM, CDNS, MU, and JMIA. If you want to ride the overall market rise, I think it's safe to go with VTI, and it seems that money is moving from tech stocks to cyclical stocks.
For tech stocks, I have set trailing stops at 20% for ARM, CDNS, MU, and JMIA. If you want to ride the overall market rise, I think it's safe to go with VTI, and it seems that money is moving from tech stocks to cyclical stocks.
Disclaimer: Community is offered by Moomoo Technologies Inc. and is for educational purposes only.
Read more
Comment
Sign in to post a comment
mooではほぼ毎週投資結果を投稿してます。
2018年から投資を始めて投資の記録をつけてます。
https://note.com/puri2_purinn/m/
310Followers
18Following
1078Visitors
Follow