(2024/9/6 金曜日)雇用統計はやや弱くNY市場は好感の上昇で開始！⭐6割方上昇。⭕製薬❌半導体→💥すっかりリセッション懸念のリスクオフとなり終了！⭐8割方下落‼️⭕不動産関連❌AI半導体,コモディティ‼️
(Friday, September 6, 2024 22:35)
Employment statistics are somewhat weak, and the NY market started with a favorable rise!
⭐ Buy pharmaceuticals, sell semiconductors!
Employment statistics are somewhat weak, and the NY market started with a favorable rise!
⭐ Buy pharmaceuticals, sell semiconductors!
- Dow +220, Nas +18, S&P +18, Russell +7▲
- Interest Rate (Y10 = 3.74%)▲
Gold, silver, copper down
- Crude Oil 69.8▲
Grains up
BTC up
- USD/JPY 143.3↓
- Fear & Greed 48▲
- Interest Rate (Y10 = 3.74%)▲
Gold, silver, copper down
- Crude Oil 69.8▲
Grains up
BTC up
- USD/JPY 143.3↓
- Fear & Greed 48▲
・Sector situation
About 60% of the sectors are rising.
About 60% of the sectors are rising.
(Top 3) Building products & equipment, building materials, residential construction
⭐ Buy in the construction sector
⭐ Buy in the construction sector
(Bottom 3) Coke, semiconductors, residential REIT
(22:53)
Sell part of $NVDA and $INDL.
Sell part of $NVDA and $INDL.
$NVDA sell at 50% loss, $INDL take 75% profit.
Sell $NVDL and buy $NVDD
Cut loss at 100% for $NVDL.
Enter a new position in $NVDD.
Enter a new position in $NVDD.
(0:00)
Sell $NVDA at a loss.
Sell $NVDA at a loss.
Cut losses on all except 1 share!
(0:32)
🟦 In $SOXS
🟦 In $SOXS
(3:09)
Sell off 100% of 🟦$FTNT, $NVDA holdings due to loss.
Sell off 100% of 🟦$FTNT, $NVDA holdings due to loss.
Both stocks were held in extremely small sizes but have been disposed of.
Causes of the sharp decline in the semiconductor sector
In today's employment statistics before the NY market opens, the consensus was for non-farm employment to increase by 0.15 million people, but if it does not reach this level, there were concerns of a recession which would cause rough price movements in the semiconductor sector.
Exactly as predicted.
In reality, it increased by 0.142 million people.
In reality, it increased by 0.142 million people.
(6:30)
The NY market ended as a risk-off of recession concerns!
⭐ Semiconductors lead to general selling!‼️
The NY market ended as a risk-off of recession concerns!
⭐ Semiconductors lead to general selling!‼️
・ Dow −410 Nas −436 S&P −94 Russell −42↓
・ Interest rates (Y10 = 3.71%)↓
・ Gold, silver, copper↓ ⭐ Commodity sell-off ❗
・ Crude oil 68.1↓
・Grains↓
・BTC↓
Dollar-yen 142.3↓
Fear & Greed 39↓ ⭐ Fearing‼️
・ Interest rates (Y10 = 3.71%)↓
・ Gold, silver, copper↓ ⭐ Commodity sell-off ❗
・ Crude oil 68.1↓
・Grains↓
・BTC↓
Dollar-yen 142.3↓
Fear & Greed 39↓ ⭐ Fearing‼️
・Sector situation
⭐ About 80% sector decline‼️
⭐ About 80% sector decline‼️
(3 strong) Residential construction, real estate development, confectioners
⭐ Buy real estate related.
⭐ Buy real estate related.
(Weak) auto manufacturers, semiconductors, aluminum
Money is flowing out from popular AI semiconductor stocks!
Money is flowing out from popular AI semiconductor stocks!
(X link)
x.comShortly after the opening of the NY market
x.comSector situation
x.comSell part of $NVDA and $INDL.
x.comExit $NVDL and enter $NVDD.
x.comCut losses on $NVDA.
x.comEnter $SOXS.
x.comSell $FTNT and $NVDA at a loss of 100%.
x.comReason for the sharp decline in the semiconductor sector.
x.comNY market summary
x.comSector situation
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ネコくまモン OP : Added a note of selling part of $NVDA and $INDL.
ネコくまモン OP : Added
$NVDL-EXIT/$NVDD-IN.
ネコくまモン OP : Added stop loss for $NVDA.
ネコくまモン OP : I added IN to $SOXS.
ネコくまモン OP : Added a 100% stop loss for $FTNT, $NVDA.
ネコくまモン OP : Added the cause of the sharp decline in the semiconductor sector.
yamacyan : If considering the medium to long term, I would buy NVDA even next year. For short-term funds, it might be a good idea to retreat for a while. I bought at around $101. Of course, it's just a tentative purchase. It may not be the lowest price yet.
By the way, I cut loss with half of AVGO at a reverse limit order, and bought it back after hours. I hedged with SOXS, so the total loss was kept at less than half.