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【2025 Target Price U.S. Stocks】5 Recommended Cybersecurity Stocks! The Re-election of 'Aggressive' Trump and AI Demand are Favorable Factors.

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ビットバレー投資家 wrote a column · 2 hours ago
Assuming office as U.S. President in January 2025Mr. TrumpandcybersecurityOne word that connects'Attack'towards external entities.”攻撃的”なトランプ氏が再選された後、サイバー攻撃から企業や組織を守るサービスを提供するサイバーセキュリティ関連銘柄の株価は15%~30%上昇した。その間、S&P500指数の上昇率は7%弱にとどまっている。
The stock market is beginning to factor in the "America First" policy.Possibly, as a result of President Trump's reelection, there may be an increase in cyber attacks targeting the US government and businesses.From 2025, it is also anticipated that the introduction of AI will shift from hardware to software, which may further drive the expansion of cybersecurity demand surrounding AI.Increased cyber attacks targeting the US government and businesses may be looming due to President Trump's potential reelection.There might be an increase in cyber attacks targeting the US government and businesses as a result of President Trump's potential reelection. It is also predicted that from 2025, the introduction of AI will shift from hardware to software, which in turn is likely to boost the expansion of cybersecurity demand surrounding AI.The expansion of cybersecurity demand related to AI could serve as a tailwind.It seems like it.
This time,The second installment of "2025 focus US stocks" (*) decided to focus on cybersecurity-related stocks. based on performance outlook, valuation, and deviation from the average target price, we selected "Cybersecurity stocks 5 selections". Cybersecurity Stock 5 Selections was picked up.
After President Trump's re-election is confirmed, cybersecurity-related stocks have been performing well.
As a representative ETF of cybersecurity-related stocks,IHAKand $First Trust Exch Traded Fund 2 Nasdaq Cybersecurity Etf (CIBR.US)$ HACK $Global X Cybersecurity ETF (BUG.US)$ There are various factors to consider. After President Trump's re-election is confirmed, the rate of increase for each ETF is.4.6%7.9%9.1%12.2%Next to that, three of them exceeded the increase in the S&P 500 Index.6.5%(All as of December 11th).
(Note: Among the four ETFs, IHAK and HACK are not currently available for trading, while BUG and CIBR are tradable stocks.)
【2025 Target Price U.S. Stocks】5 Recommended Cybersecurity Stocks! The Re-election of 'Aggressive' Trump and AI Demand are Favorable Factors.
Global X Cybersecurity ETF (BUG)The higher rate of increase is considered to be due to the higher correlation of the constituent stocks with cybersecurity. The same ETF,Conditions of constituent stocks"With a requirement that revenue from cybersecurity activities accounts for 50% or more".
For the Global X Cybersecurity ETF (BUG) constituent stocks' price performance, it was found that the price of 11 stocks increased by more than 10%. Specifically, $A10 Networks (ATEN.US)$ Next,28.8% $Fortinet (FTNT.US)$ Next,24.4% $Qualys (QLYS.US)$ 23.4%、 $CrowdStrike (CRWD.US)$ 21.4% $CyberArk (CYBR.US)$ is18.2%Ranked in the top 5.
【2025 Target Price U.S. Stocks】5 Recommended Cybersecurity Stocks! The Re-election of 'Aggressive' Trump and AI Demand are Favorable Factors.
Next, $Okta (OKTA.US)$ is16.1% $OneSpan (OSPN.US)$ is13.2% $Zscaler (ZS.US)$ is12.4%、 $Tenable Holdings (TENB.US)$ Is10.5% $Palo Alto Networks (PANW.US)$ is10.3%Rose.
Cybersecurity Stock 5 Selections
Global X Cybersecurity ETF (BUG)From the components, in the current fiscal year and the next fiscal year,Approximately double-digit growth in revenue and profitand,Deviation ratio from the average target priceWhen the deviation ratio is -1.0% or more from the average target price, the following 7 stocks are extracted. The ranking of the stocks is based on the next year's expected PEG ratio.Next year's expected PEG ratioin descending order.
* The PEG ratio is calculated by dividing the expected PER by the long-term earnings growth rate per share, allowing for a valuation indicator that considers growth. Similar to the more widely used PER (price-to-earnings ratio), a lower number indicates a higher undervaluation.
【2025 Target Price U.S. Stocks】5 Recommended Cybersecurity Stocks! The Re-election of 'Aggressive' Trump and AI Demand are Favorable Factors.
Next year's expected PEG ratioconsidered to be at an appropriate level.less than twice.StocksOktaCyberArkCrowdStrikeTenableThey all exceeded a deviation rate of 10% from the average target price. However, among themTenablebecame the only stock whose average target price was lowered by analysts after the recent earnings announcement.Fortinetis expected to have a PEG ratio of over 2 times next fiscal yeardoubleCompared to the above 4 stocks, there is a slightly higher valuation. The deviation rate from the average target price is also negative.
ZscalerandPalo AltoisNext year's expected PEG ratio is over 3 timesCompared to the above stocks, it seems to be relatively highly valued. On the other hand, there may be further upside potential based on stable full-year performance growth outlook and the deviation rate from the average target price.
Therefore, after the earnings release, among the stocks where the average target price has been raised, comprehensively determine the performance outlook, valuation, and deviation rate from the average target price.CyberArkCrowdStrikeZscalerPalo AltoOktapicking up in " 5 selected US cybersecurity-related stocks .
$CyberArk (CYBR.US)$
Headquartered in IsraelA pioneering company in privileged ID managementSo, now,a global leading company.Providing an Identity Security Platform that protects all identities, human and machine.The main customersinclude banks, manufacturing, government agencies, etc.Revenue composition by regionUSA accounts for 59%, EMEA (Europe, Middle East, Africa) for 31%, and APJ (Asia Pacific Japan) for 11% (July-September 2024).
Performance for the July-September quarterAdjusted EPS (Earnings Per Share) was $0.94, more than double the same period last year, significantly exceeding the market's expected $0.46. Subscription Annual Recurring Revenue (ARR) increased by 46% compared to the same period last year, supporting the strong performance.Good performanceNet new ARR reached an all-time high, excluding the seasonally strong October-December quarter. Customers with ARR exceeding $0.5 million have surpassed 375 companies, representing an increase of about 40% compared to the same period last year.
Fiscal year 2024 guidanceisrevenueExceeded market expectations of $0.94 billion at $0.983 billion to $0.989 billion.調整後EPSAt $2.85 to $2.96, it significantly exceeded the market expectation of $2.31. The company sees significant business opportunities as the Total Addressable Market (TAM) has tripled since 2021, with a focus on machine-to-machine.Acquisition of VenafiExpected to lead to synergies and contribute to future business performance expansion.
After the Earnings Reports.over 20 analystsTarget PriceRaised the Target Price. Analysts who lowered the Target Price were "zero". As of December 13, Average Target Priceis $348.36,highest Target Priceis $400,lowest Target Priceis $316. (From Bloomberg)
【2025 Target Price U.S. Stocks】5 Recommended Cybersecurity Stocks! The Re-election of 'Aggressive' Trump and AI Demand are Favorable Factors.
$CrowdStrike (CRWD.US)$
Leader in the Cybersecurity industry.15 out of the top 20 banks in the world and 65 Fortune 100 companies.CustomersAccording to research firm Gartner, in the company's Security Software market (based on revenue in 2023).ShareWith a market share of 15%, L is ranked second after the top-ranked Microsoft (40%). The company also leverages AI in cybersecurity and entered into a strategic partnership with NVIDIA in March this year.
This yearIn mid-Julydue to a flaw in the update provided by the company, Microsoft's Windows systems worldwideexperienced a major system failureStocks plummeted by 40% as a result. However, since August, they have been recovering and are approaching the pre-failure stock price levels. It is believed that factors such as the company's swift response after the failure and the potential to maintain a leading position in the industry contributed to the stock price recovery.
Performance in the October to December period.With revenue in the range of 1.01 billion dollars, a 29% year-on-year increase, exceeding market expectations of 9.7 billion dollars for the quarter for the first time going beyond 1 billion dollars. ARR also reached 4.02 billion dollars, surpassing market expectations of 4 billion dollars.Exceeded expectations.Due to the impact of the mid-July event, the overall income retention rate fell to 97%, a 0.5 percentage point decrease compared to the same period last year, but the decrease was limited.
Guidance for the January to March period.Remained cautious, with slight undershoots in annual recurring earnings (ARR) and the net increase in new ARR compared to market expectations.Fell below market expectations.The management revealed that incidentcertainly impacting the first few weeks after the incident, the majority of outbound pipeline generation activities were delayed, which is clearly affecting the 11-1st quarter.impactOn July 19th incident is extending sales cycles for both existing and prospective customers, but there has not been much significant change in deals from large to medium scale, and from the perspective of churn rate, there has been churn in the very small MSP sector.From the second half of the fiscal year ending January 2026 (after August 2025), isAccelerating the growth of pure new ARR once again.has declared that it is possible.
After the Earnings Reports.more than 10 analystsTarget PriceRaised the Target Price. Analysts who lowered the Target Price were "zero". As of December 13, Average Target Priceis $382.13,highest Target Priceis $420,lowest Target Priceis $300. (From Bloomberg)
【2025 Target Price U.S. Stocks】5 Recommended Cybersecurity Stocks! The Re-election of 'Aggressive' Trump and AI Demand are Favorable Factors.
$Palo Alto Networks (PANW.US)$
A leading network security providerThe company's "Prisma SASE" is the most comprehensive SASE solution in the industry.Leading the industry with AI-enabled SASE.SASE integrates security and networking services. As a competitor to CrowdStrike in the endpoint security market, there is a possibility of benefiting to some extent post-CrowdStrike incidents.
Performance for the September-November periodRevenue for the period of September to November increased by 14% year-on-year to $2.14 billion, exceeding the market estimate of $2.12 billion. Adjusted earnings per share also exceeded market expectations at $1.56, compared to the expected $1.48.Exceeded expectations.Reached an all-time high last week.Guidance for full-year revenue in fiscal year 2025.A slight upward revision from the previous 9.1 billion to 9.15 billion dollars to 9.12 billion to 9.17 billion dollars.Upward revision.Exceeded market expectations of 9.13 billion dollars at the median.
The management commented on AI, "From a long-term perspective, I think AI will be prevalent in many forms and will be relevant to many companies. AI needs to be applied to cybersecurity as well. I believe existing companies will have an advantage."The management commented on AI, "From a long-term perspective, I think AI will be prevalent in many forms and will be relevant to many companies. AI needs to be applied to cybersecurity as well. I believe existing companies will have an advantage."
After the Earnings Reports.Approximately 20 analysts Target Pricewas raised by analysts. Only one analyst lowered the target price. As of December 13, Average Target Pricethe price is $420.13. highest Target Priceis $470,lowest Target Priceis $291 according to Bloomberg.
【2025 Target Price U.S. Stocks】5 Recommended Cybersecurity Stocks! The Re-election of 'Aggressive' Trump and AI Demand are Favorable Factors.
$Zscaler (ZS.US)$
Leading company in cloud security.Enhancing not only Zero Trust Security but also AI security. 35% of the Forbes Global 2000 and 45% of the Fortune 500 companies areCustomersCurrently, it serves 14 out of 15 agencies in the U.S. federal government, including the Department of Defense.Revenue composition by regionwith the U.S. accounting for 54%, EMEA for 30%, and APJ for 16% (8-10 month of 2024).
Performance in the October to December period.11-1 month period guidanceGuidance for the January to March period.The revenue slightly exceeded market expectations, while the adjusted EPS fell short of market expectations. The medium- to long-term performance outlook is solid, but the short-term outlook has become somewhat weak.
During the earnings call, the management stated,the combination of Zero Trust and AIhas created exciting new opportunities. The company is prepared to capture those opportunities with its large and expanding platform.
After the Earnings Reports.more than 10 analystsTarget PriceRaised the target price. There were 4 analysts who lowered the target price. Several analysts pointed out that the change in CFO could bring uncertainty to the performance outlook. As of December 13th,Average Target Priceis $228.98,highest Target Priceis $260,lowest Target Priceis $180. (Source: Bloomberg)
【2025 Target Price U.S. Stocks】5 Recommended Cybersecurity Stocks! The Re-election of 'Aggressive' Trump and AI Demand are Favorable Factors.
$Okta (OKTA.US)$
Leading cloud-based ID management and integrated authentication service provider.Two-thirds of Fortune 100 companies and over 40% of Forbes Global 2000 companiesCustomersThis marks the highest order intake for the period of April-September.Revenue composition by regionThe USA accounts for 79%, while overseas accounts for 21% (August-October 2024).
Performance in the October to December period.Revenue increased by 14% compared to the same period last year, exceeding market expectations. Adjusted EPS was $0.67, a 52% increase from $0.44 in the same period last year, surpassing the market expectation of $0.59. 15% of orders were attributed to new products, including large deals.PositiveAmong the top 10 deals, 5 were from the US federal government sector. The management pointed out that efforts to modernize some technologies in the government sector have been lagging behind.federal government-relatedwill continue toAn important driver of growthindicated.
Guidance for the 11-1 period and full year 2025fell below market expectations, but the interim full-year guidance for January 2026, with a revenue growth rate of about 7%, was conservative. Since the customer information leakage incident in October 2023, the company's performance has outperformed the conservative guidance.
After the Earnings Reports.over 20 analystsTarget PriceRaised the Target Price. Analysts who lowered the Target Price were "zero". As of December 13, Average Target Priceis $102.69,highest Target Priceis $129,lowest Target Priceis $90. (From Bloomberg)
【2025 Target Price U.S. Stocks】5 Recommended Cybersecurity Stocks! The Re-election of 'Aggressive' Trump and AI Demand are Favorable Factors.
On December 13, 2024, Market Analyst Julie
Source: Company data and created by MOOMOO Securities from Bloomberg
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