$Lam Research (LRCX.US)$Expectations for medium to long-term share and performance expansion against the backdrop of an investment boom in AI.●A semiconductor manufacturing equipment maker. It holds the world's top share in etching equipment and has the industry's largest 3D NAND equipment installation base. It established technological leadership in advanced encapsulation, essential for AI technology, at an early stage.
●Currently,
(Note: JSR, excluding the chemical sector constituents of the Nikkei Semiconductor Stock Index (in weight order). Operating profit growth rate forecast, recent dividend yield, and analyst target stock price for Nippon Chemicals are based on Bloomberg data.)(Price-to-Earnings Ratio) is 20.3 times, below the 5-year average of 21.8 times (many semiconductor stocks are above the historical average).
(Note: As of October 25th, according to Bloomberg, the PE for the next 12 months is as follows)●The July-September quarter
Adjusted EPS(Earnings Per Share) was $0.86, surpassing the market estimate of $0.81. The adjusted EPS forecast for the October to December period is $0.77 to $0.97, exceeding the market estimate of $0.84 at the median.
●The earnings of major customers, such as Samsung Electronics, were lackluster.
$Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM.US)$ Both SK Hynix and AI semiconductors are performing well due to strong demand, with both companies indicating intentions to expand their facilities, which can be considered as a positive factor for Lam Research.
●During the earnings call on October 22nd, the management indicated that the momentum continues to build, and they expect to achieve performance surpassing the overall industry growth. Foundry and logic operations outside of China remain very strong, with a positive outlook for DRAM, including DDR5 and high-bandwidth memory for AI semiconductor memory.
In 2025.TSMC continues to gain momentum and has demonstrated the ability to achieve performance higher than the overall industry growth. The most advanced foundry and logic technologies outside of China continue to perform well, and it is expected that DRAM, including DDR5 for AI semiconductor memory and high-bandwidth memory, will continue to show strong performance.
●There is a need to be cautious about the strengthened export regulations related to China's demand and exports, however.
AIWith the benefit of the investment boom, market share expansion and performance growth can be expected in the medium to long term.